Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 95.5%. Yes opened at 33% on 25 Mar 2025. Before it settled, the high was 95.5% on 5 Jul 2025 and the low 22.5% on 26 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 64.5% on 25 Jun 2025. $197.67K traded over the market's life.
46 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 6, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 103 points · 25 Mar 2025 – 5 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Mar 2025 | 33.0% |
| 5 Jul 2025 | 95.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 482 |
| GulDamar | No | 445.99 |
| Cherrry-693 | No | 175.44 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that explicitly eliminates federal income taxes on tips earned by workers in the United States by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Legislation which includes specific exceptions where federal income tax on tips remains applicable for specified groups (whether by income or type of worker, etc) will still qualify, as long as the primary outcome of the law is the removal of federal income tax on tips. Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No". This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-ends-taxes-on-tips-before-august
| No |
| 120.03 |
| jkason | No | 101.27 |
| wwwcc | No | 50 |
| acab | No | 34.48 |
| MARCO.D.SMOKE | No | 30.76 |
| Tombery | No | 30.3 |
| EvanBaisch | Yes | 28.49 |
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