Analytics
Resolved No on 8 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 80.3%. Yes opened at 18% on 25 Feb 2025. Before it settled, the high was 27.2% on 23 Apr 2025 and the low 2.5% on 12 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 21.6% on 22 Apr 2025. $2.27M traded over the market's life.
528 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 10, 12:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 73 points · 25 Feb 2025 – 8 May 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Feb 2025 | 18.0% |
| 8 May 2025 | 19.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 978.41K |
| GW1 | Yes | 71.68K |
| alxismissing | Yes | 15.46K |
| alltoesarepretty-890 | Yes | 11.66K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to the name of the next person announced as the bishop of Rome after Pope Francis. If no new pope is announced by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No new Pope in 2025". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Vatican, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-pope
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| MrStanton | Yes | 11.1K |
| Everythingonblack | Yes | 6.44K |
| CRQuadro | Yes | 5.72K |
| notapplefarm | Yes | 5.61K |
| Worthy-Pulley | Yes | 5.58K |
| Hans777 | Yes | 5.52K |
