Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 13 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 13 May 2025 to 1 Jun 2025, the highest close was 42% on 14 May 2025 and the lowest 0.7% on 1 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 22% on 15 May 2025. $292.42K traded over the market's life.
31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 2, 8:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 13 May 2025 – 1 Jun 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 May 2025 | 25.5% |
| 1 Jun 2025 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| monkeyguy | Yes | 4K |
| Torpboy | Yes | 1.35K |
| CheemaY | Yes | 1K |
| ArbiTrader.Zim | Yes | 877.2 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Government of Qatar formally transfers ownership or long-term use rights of a Boeing 747-8 aircraft, or a substantially similar luxury aircraft, to either Donald Trump, the Trump Organization, a Trump-affiliated foundation, trust, or nonprofit, or to the U.S. government (including but not limited to the U.S. Air Force) by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying transfer must be confirmed either by official statements from both the Qatari government and the Trump side (including the Trump Organization or relevant U.S. government agency), or by a consensus of credible reporting indicating that such a transfer occurred. The primary resolution source will be official Qatari and U.S. government statements however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-qatar-gift-trump-a-new-air-force-one-in-may
| daoxin | Yes | 743.62 |
| 5435432 | Yes | 249.31 |
| ManOfGodd | Yes | 132.25 |
| lupu92 | Yes | 116.03 |
| favored0 | Yes | 107.07 |
| pizzamann | Yes | 86 |
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