Analytics
Resolved Yes on 8 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 95%. Yes opened at 31% on 3 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 3 May 2025 to 8 May 2025, the highest close was 95% on 8 May 2025 and the lowest 31% on 3 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 57 points up, to 95% on 8 May 2025. $24.23K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 9, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 3 May 2025 – 8 May 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 May 2025 | 31.0% |
| 8 May 2025 | 95.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DefiDegen-502 | No | 1.59 |
| Vilara | No | 1.49 |
| smoltrader | No | 0.02 |
| 30XA | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile test between May 2, 5:00 PM ET and May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/north-korea-missile-test-before-june
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| lestAAAA | Yes | 0.01 |
| bigboops | Yes | 0.01 |
