Analytics
Resolved Yes on 13 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 91.5%. Yes opened at 29.5% on 1 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 74 daily closes on record from 1 Apr 2025 to 13 Jun 2025, the highest close was 91.5% on 13 Jun 2025 and the lowest 17.5% on 9 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 47 points up, to 91.5% on 13 Jun 2025. $4.51M traded over the market's life.
234 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 14, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 74 points, 1 Apr 2025 – 13 Jun 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Apr 2025 | 29.5% |
| 13 Jun 2025 | 91.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Iranian embassies or consulates between March 31, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by Israel on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-military-action-against-iran-before-july
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| digital | No | 2.15K |
| Gumba | No | 2.12K |
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