Celsius founder sentenced to 20+ years?

cryptoResolved

No, settled May 9, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$84.9K

Resolved

Settled

May 9, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 9 May 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 62% on 30 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 30 Apr 2025 to 9 May 2025, the highest close was 62% on 30 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 9 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 14.5% on 2 May 2025. $84.92K traded over the market's life.

6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 10, 8:20 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 30 Apr 2025 – 9 May 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
30 Apr 2025	62.0%
9 May 2025	0.3%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Serafim	Yes	31.25
ctrl842	Yes	19.99
fa910	Yes	0.07
bigboops	No	0.02

6 of 6 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The founder of Celsius Alex Mashinsky plead guilty to a variety of crimes in December 2024. His sentencing is scheduled for May 8, 2025. You can read more about that here: https://cointelegraph.com/news/celsius-alex-mashinsky-20-year-sentence-doj This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mashinsky is sentenced to spend 20 or more years in custody of a jail or prison, as part of "United States v. MASHINSKY" (1:23-cr-00347), by May 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No". If no sentencing takes place by May 31, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the presiding court in this case, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.