Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 4 |
| $0.250 |
| $1 |
| Mar 1, 2026 |
Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionYes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Nov 23, 2025 |
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Nov 23, 2025 |
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 23?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Nov 23, 2025 |
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Nov 23, 2025 |
US military action against Iran before July?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?Yes | buy | 3.25 | $0.308 | $1 | Apr 21, 2025 |
RedNote/Xiaohongshu #1 app on Jan 24?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Jan 15, 2025 |
Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Dec 28, 2024 |
Will there be a US Government shutdown?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.016 | $0.1 | Dec 23, 2024 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.021 | $0.1 | Dec 19, 2024 |
Will ChatGPT have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.21 | $0.330 | $0.4 | Dec 18, 2024 |
US Government confirms what Mystery Drones are in 2024?Yes | buy | 1.5 | $0.200 | $0.3 | Dec 17, 2024 |
Will any arrests be made related to Mystery Drones?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.130 | $0.2 | Dec 17, 2024 |
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.130 | $0.5 | Dec 16, 2024 |
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.010 | $0.1 | Dec 16, 2024 |
German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Dec 16, 2024 |
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.080 | $0.5 | Dec 16, 2024 |
Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.064 | $0.1 | Dec 12, 2024 |
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?No | buy | 2.87 | $0.349 | $1 | Dec 12, 2024 |
Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.430 | $0.5 | Dec 12, 2024 |
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Nov 9, 2024 |
Germany confidence vote in 2024?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.540 | $0.7 | Nov 8, 2024 |
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.280 | $0.5 | Nov 8, 2024 |
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?No | buy | 0.77 | $0.650 | $0.5 | Nov 8, 2024 |
Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.420 | $0.5 | Nov 8, 2024 |
Will RFK be a member of the Trump administration?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.090 | $0.5 | Nov 8, 2024 |
Lunchly recall in 2024?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.130 | $0.5 | Nov 8, 2024 |
Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Nov 8, 2024 |
GOP wins popular vote by 1.5-1.75%?Yes | sell | 0.53 | $0.190 | $0.1 | Nov 8, 2024 |
GOP wins popular vote by 1.5-1.75%?Yes | buy | 0.54 | $0.930 | $0.5 | Nov 8, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.046 | $0.5 | Nov 8, 2024 |
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Nov 8, 2024 |