Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 76.8%. Yes opened at 36% on 5 Mar 2024. Before it settled, across the 276 daily closes on record from 5 Mar 2024 to 5 Dec 2024, the highest close was 93.2% on 23 Nov 2024 and the lowest 10.5% on 9 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 58.5% on 12 Nov 2024. $22.81M traded over the market's life.
1,000 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 276 points, 5 Mar 2024 – 5 Dec 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Mar 2024 | 36.0% |
| 5 Dec 2024 | 76.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bizyugo | No | 120K |
| soicowboy | No | 76.81K |
| CACAOCAPITAL | No | 61.75K |
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Coinbase 1 minute candle for bitcoin BTC-USD between 1 Jan '24 00:00 and 31 Dec '24 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price of 100,000.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the BTC-USD "High" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/BTC-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the "High" prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value "H" at the top of the chart. Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase BTC-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets. Note: If it is clear there is a large data discrepancy issue with Coinbase (e.g. BTC only hit 75k on other exchanges but 100k on Coinbase), a consensus of other credible sources may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-bitcoin-hit-100k-in-2024
| Herby555 | No | 37.83K |
| BTCMaxi69 | No | 35K |
| kolio | No | 30.05K |
| gfrruu | No | 29.11K |
| nitish | No | 27.58K |
| Tylernow | No | 24.88K |
| jnjnkjn | No | 20.71K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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