Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 6% on 14 Sep 2024. Before it settled, the high was 100% on 21 Dec 2024 and the low 1.7% on 28 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 63 points up, to 99.7% on 20 Dec 2024. $16.82M traded over the market's life.
422 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 22, 12:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 99 points · 14 Sep 2024 – 21 Dec 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Sep 2024 | 6.0% |
| 21 Dec 2024 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| violinmars | No | 275.87K |
| 6195 | No | 39.06K |
| 1464323 | No | 34.18K |
| x0xyz | No | 19.97K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Syria between September 12, 2024 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, the Golan Heights count as Israeli territory. The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by Syria, Israel, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-israel-invade-syria-in-2024
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| socutiepie | No | 15.76K |
| Igotthenutss | No | 15K |
| TKN | No | 13.25K |
| PepeLolo | No | 11K |
| Politburo | No | 10K |
| Shantrumpshan | No | 8.46K |
