Analytics
Resolved Yes on 15 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 15.5% on 21 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 87 daily closes on record from 21 Aug 2024 to 15 Nov 2024, the highest close was 99.9% on 15 Nov 2024 and the lowest 15% on 3 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 43 points up, to 99.9% on 15 Nov 2024. $1.33M traded over the market's life.
137 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 16, 1:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 87 points, 21 Aug 2024 – 15 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2024 | 15.5% |
| 15 Nov 2024 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Welcome-Sequence | No | 2.34K |
| msm23124 | No | 2.31K |
| asherrrr | No | 458 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump wins the 2024 election and nominates Robert F. Kennedy Jr. for a Cabinet position by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will immediately resolve to "No" if Donald Trump loses the 2024 US Presidential Election. A Cabinet position is defined as any of the heads of the 15 executive departments or a role formally designated as Cabinet-level by the President. Advisory roles will not qualify for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-wins-and-nominates-rfk-jr-to-cabinet
| No |
| 337.81 |
| Thoughtcrates | Yes | 273.95 |
| 7113 | No | 151.52 |
| bababooie | No | 140 |
| mooch | Yes | 138.89 |
| rushing | No | 136.29 |
| Nounito | No | 129.69 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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