Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.4%. Yes opened at 92.5% on 7 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 76 daily closes on record from 7 Nov 2024 to 21 Jan 2025, the highest close was 99.4% on 20 Jan 2025 and the lowest 87% on 14 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 98.2% on 15 Nov 2024. $498.21K traded over the market's life.
80 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 22, 8:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 76 points, 7 Nov 2024 – 21 Jan 2025, chart shows 80%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2024 | 92.5% |
| 21 Jan 2025 | 99.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BabyYoda12 | No | 4.76K |
| Reiw4 | No | 3.85K |
| cantopmz | No | 2.94K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump wins the 2024 election and officially nominates or appoints Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to his administration by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will immediately resolve to "No" if Donald Trump loses the 2024 US Presidential Election. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-administration
| No |
| 2.91K |
| Vigorous-Swimsuit | No | 482.25 |
| commoncents | No | 364.3 |
| St-Qc | No | 120.99 |
| tradelou1s | Yes | 112.2 |
| trandinhtu01 | No | 111.11 |
| Diodotus415 | No | 67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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