Analytics
Resolved Yes on 25 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 12% on 4 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 113 daily closes on record from 4 Sep 2024 to 25 Dec 2024, the highest close was 99.9% on 25 Dec 2024 and the lowest 2.6% on 7 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 42 points up, to 49.5% on 19 Dec 2024. $53.5M traded over the market's life.
545 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 26, 12:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 113 points, 4 Sep 2024 – 25 Dec 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Sep 2024 | 12.0% |
| 25 Dec 2024 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| rulorade | No | 1.19M |
| plsnorugme | No | 1.02M |
| plsnorugme2 | No | 695.64K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S government shut down occurs between August 30, and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The market will resolve to “Yes” if the acting President fails to sign the relevant bill(s) extending government funding by the applicable deadline(s), even if no government shutdown is explicitly announced. For this market to resolve to "Yes" any shutdown will count. If only a portion of the US government is covered by any signed bill(s) extending funding of the US government, and a portion of the US government goes unfunded, this market will still resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution for this source will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-government-shutdown-before-2025
| No |
| 418.38K |
| ansembetter | No | 317.99K |
| Beepidibop | No | 302.05K |
| lix | No | 266.51K |
| BobbyRyan | No | 249.37K |
| Rocco420 | No | 245.16K |
| BobT | No | 218.52K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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