Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 5% on 17 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 17 Dec 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 10.5% on 18 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points up, to 10.5% on 18 Dec 2024. $27.01K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 1:55 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 17 Dec 2024 – 1 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2024 | 5.0% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Steel-Molding | Yes | 6.38K |
| anon888 | Yes | 50 |
| szymonowiczos | Yes | 20 |
| gaRRRbine | No | 2 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual is arrested in connection with the "mystery drone" clusters sighted in the U.S. Northeast by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No" Arrest for trespassing will not qualify. Only arrests directly stemming from the operation of drones will count. Arrests relating to incidents outside of Virginia, Maryland, Delaware, Washington, D.C., New Jersey, New York, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Pennsylvania, and Massachusetts will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant law enforcement agencies. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-any-arrests-be-made-related-to-mystery-drones
| Axios | Yes | 0.05 |
| KommstDuKlar | Yes | 0.05 |
| CarVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | No | 0.01 |
| gaffy3r | Yes | 0.01 |
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