Analytics
Resolved No on 24 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 50% on 15 Jan 2025. Before it settled, the high was 90% on 23 Jan 2025 and the low 0.3% on 24 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 90 points down, to 0.3% on 24 Jan 2025. $46.26K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 25, 7:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 15 Jan 2025 – 24 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2025 | 50.0% |
| 24 Jan 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RememberAmalek | Yes | 1K |
| deepflow | Yes | 260.15 |
| GGGTTTTT | Yes | 118.07 |
| bebec | Yes | 69 |
| Onam | Yes | 35.89 |
| TaoTeChing | Yes | 23.26 |
| KAWA02 | Yes | 13.04 |
| youmee601 | Yes | 8.33 |
| bacchusme | Yes | 3.37 |
| Goose😄 | Yes | 1.28 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Xiaohongshu (小红书, RedNote) iOS app is the #1 app in the United States iPhone Apple App Store for the Top Free Apps category, on January 24, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is information from Apple (see: https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone/top-free-apps/36).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/rednotexiaohongshu-1-app-on-jan-24
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