
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 30.5% on 29 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 65 daily closes on record from 29 Oct 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 36.5% on 6 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 36.5% on 6 Nov 2024. $204.16K traded over the market's life.
68 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 8:45 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 65 points, 29 Oct 2024 – 1 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Oct 2024 | 30.5% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| smokinfish | Yes | 1.26K |
| ptkenny | Yes | 357.14 |
| Min-jeong | No | 227.27 |
| lamat | Yes | 158.92 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lunchly publicly announces a product recall by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement of a recall will qualify for a “Yes” resolution even if no recall has taken place. The resolution source for this market will be official information form Lunchly or MrBeast.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lunchly-recall-in-2024
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
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