Analytics
Resolved Yes on 2 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 29.5%. Yes opened at 8% on 4 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 182 daily closes on record from 4 Jun 2024 to 2 Dec 2024, the highest close was 37.5% on 7 Nov 2024 and the lowest 8% on 4 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 27% on 19 Jul 2024. $3.4M traded over the market's life.
472 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 3, 2:49 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 182 points, 4 Jun 2024 – 2 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jun 2024 | 8.0% |
| 2 Dec 2024 | 29.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| yyyyyyyllllll | No | 40.26K |
| CHIKITYCHINESECHICKEN | No | 19.96K |
| kolio | No | 9.73K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve by his father President Joseph Biden, before the time the next presidential inauguration starts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", the pardon, commutation, or reprieve must be issued by Joseph Biden within his first presidential term. If it becomes impossible for Joseph Biden issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-joe-pardon-hunter-biden
| happyhermes | No | 8.52K |
| Chinita0404 | No | 6.66K |
| blackjacklu | No | 2.79K |
| Smoggy-Implement | No | 2.67K |
| AqpW | No | 2.5K |
| Brian10 | No | 2.25K |
| betoooor | No | 1.99K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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