Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 12.94 | $0.850 | $12.71 | +$1.71 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2025?Yes | sell | 10.64 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 25.84 |
| $0.990 |
| $25.58 |
| Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.810 | $3 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?No | buy | 32.91 | $0.960 | $31.59 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 12.94 | $0.850 | $11 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 10.76 | $0.929 | $10 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by August 31?No | buy | 5.18 | $0.966 | $5 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 OpenAI social app in 2025?No | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Doge ETF approved in 2025?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Dogecoin above $0.22 on August 1?No | buy | 0.08 | $0.950 | $0.08 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $114,000 on August 1?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Ethereum outperforms Bitcoin on August 1?No | buy | 34.79 | $0.977 | $34 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Earthquake 7.0 or above by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser by August 31?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by August 31?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.058 | $1 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.955 | $1 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.961 | $1 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.930 | $3 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will Meta be forced to sell Instagram or WhatsApp in 2025?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.827 | $1 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser in July?No | buy | 3.16 | $0.950 | $3 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.047 | $1 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.847 | $1 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation before October?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.958 | $1 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Dogecoin above $0.20 on July 18?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Fartcoin all time high before August?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by August 31?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?No | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| OpenAI social app in 2025?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.819 | $1 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser in July?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jul 15, 2025 |