Analytics
Resolved Yes on 30 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 86.5%. Yes opened at 26% on 16 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 168 daily closes on record from 16 Apr 2025 to 30 Sep 2025, the highest close was 86.5% on 30 Sep 2025 and the lowest 9.5% on 28 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 33 points up, to 86.5% on 30 Sep 2025. $425.24K traded over the market's life.
272 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 12:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 168 points, 16 Apr 2025 – 30 Sep 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Apr 2025 | 26.0% |
| 30 Sep 2025 | 86.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BeN | No | 10.89K |
| ChironCrossing | No | 5.14K |
| wil0w | No | 5K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a social iOS app owned by OpenAI is available for installation on the US iOS app store by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pre-Order does not satisfy the market conditions. A "social app" refers to an iOS application whose primary function is facilitating social interaction between users, such as messaging, content sharing, or community engagement. The primary resolution source will be the US iOS app store, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/openai-social-app-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| cowcat | No | 4.48K |
| FridayNight | No | 2.55K |
| brian992 | No | 2.32K |
| 8396239287 | No | 2.26K |
| collectorr | No | 2K |
| Jittery-Hospitality | No | 1.88K |
| TarasShevchenko | No | 1.68K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
