Analytics
Resolved Yes on 2 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 96.5%. Yes opened at 37.5% on 24 Jul 2025. Before it settled, the high was 96.5% on 2 Dec 2025 and the low 15.5% on 5 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 75 points up, to 96.5% on 2 Dec 2025. $614.35K traded over the market's life.
157 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 3, 8:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 132 points, 24 Jul 2025 – 2 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2025 | 37.5% |
| 2 Dec 2025 | 96.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union imposes any new or increased tariffs on the United States between July 23, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting the U.S. will qualify. For example, a global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the EU) will not count toward this market's resolution. Tariffs enacted by EU member states will not count. Only Tariffs imposed by the EU will qualify. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-eu-impose-new-tariffs-on-us-goods-in-2025
| No |
| 4.23K |
| Marketpoll | No | 2.24K |
| regelee | No | 2.21K |
| DiversifiedBS | No | 1.57K |
| oak | No | 1.54K |
| Luxovac | No | 1.06K |
| sanalid | No | 778.04 |
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