Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 21% on 1 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 366 daily closes on record from 1 Jan 2025 to 31 Dec 2025, the highest close was 30.5% on 19 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 31 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 30.5% on 19 Feb 2025. $2.48M traded over the market's life.
576 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 366 points, 1 Jan 2025 – 31 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2025 | 21.0% |
| 31 Dec 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 897.78K |
| funding | Yes | 50K |
| eNakeVets | Yes | 46K |
qqThis is a negrisk market group over which will be the top AI model on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Joe-Biden | Yes | 24.04K |
| back-in-whack | Yes | 22.97K |
| meduzadecoder | Yes | 16.73K |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 15.09K |
| RITB123 | Yes | 11.66K |
| TKJPN | Yes | 10.74K |
| TheBigMuscle | Yes | 10.03K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
