Analytics
TheBigMuscle has made $2.02K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 301.23K | $0.003 | $1.66K | +$715.09 |
 |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| uncategorized | +$1.54K | $9.33K | 539 | 109 | 23.9% | $575.01 |
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-01 10:45 UTC
Polymarket public position response
48 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 04:58 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 04:58 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-01 10:45 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $29.63K and losing ones cost $6.98K across the latest 50 settled positions. 80% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $2.7K on “Will Wisconsin be the closest state?” (Yes); the largest loss, $2.32K on “Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” (Yes).
It has traded 740 markets. Most of the volume is in uncategorized ($9.33K). Its open positions are worth $4.83K across 48 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 1K |
| $0.922 |
| $949.1 |
| +$23.35 |
 Ohio Senate favorite on November 2? | Brown | 349.1 | $0.850 | $337.93 | +$41.19 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 760 | $0.290 | $296.4 | +$76 |
 Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 1.51K | $0.313 | $234.61 | -$238.63 |
 Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 800 | $0.330 | $220 | -$44 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31? | No | 140 | $0.978 | $136.15 | -$0.73 |
| Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 130 | $0.750 | $126.75 | +$29.25 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027? | No | 124.01 | $0.984 | $122.15 | +$0.12 |
| Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 500.01 | $0.080 | $110 | +$70 |
 Meituan announces a training pause by October 31? | No | 70 | $0.938 | $69.06 | +$3.39 |
 Will a third-place Senate candidate win at least 4% of the vote in 2026? | Yes | 61 | $0.960 | $60.85 | +$2.29 |
| Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 58.44 | $0.946 | $52.51 | -$2.78 |
 Z.ai announces a training pause by October 31? | No | 50 | $0.953 | $48.53 | +$0.86 |
 Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2028? | No | 170.71 | $0.283 | $40.12 | -$8.18 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31? | No | 40 | $0.950 | $35.9 | -$2.1 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 102.5 | $0.390 | $33.31 | -$6.66 |
 Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 400 | $0.050 | $26 | +$6 |
 Baidu announces a training pause by October 31? | No | 20 | $0.890 | $19.78 | +$1.98 |
 DeepSeek announces a training pause by October 31? | No | 20 | $0.890 | $19.45 | +$1.65 |
 Moonshot announces a training pause by October 31? | No | 20 | $0.890 | $19.27 | +$1.47 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 92.29 | $0.270 | $18.92 | -$6 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Maine before the midterms? | No | 20 | $0.640 | $17.3 | +$4.5 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%? | Yes | 79.2 | $0.071 | $17.27 | +$11.63 |
 Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 118.67 | $0.144 | $15.43 | -$1.7 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
