Latest trade
Oct 26, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 8:29 AM UTC.
Analytics
TheBigMuscle has made $2.02K on Polymarket, #52,298 on Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-26 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 26, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 8:29 AM UTC.
$7.71 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 19 markets; 84.0% were buys. They run from Oct 18, 2026 UTC to Oct 26, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 301.23K | $0.003 | $1.66K | +$715.09 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?No | buy | 34.37 | $0.940 | $32.31 | 24m ago |
|
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-26 04:54 UTC
Polymarket public position response
47 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 08:29 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 08:29 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-01 10:45 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $29.63K and losing ones cost $6.98K across the latest 50 settled positions. 80% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $2.7K on “Will Wisconsin be the closest state?” (Yes); the largest loss, $2.32K on “Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” (Yes).
It first traded on 15 Aug 2024 and most recently on 26 Oct 2026. It has traded 740 markets. Its open positions are worth $4.82K across 47 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 1.04K |
| $0.922 |
| $924.45 |
| -$33.6 |
 Ohio Senate favorite on November 2? | Brown | 349.1 | $0.850 | $337.93 | +$41.19 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 760 | $0.290 | $311.6 | +$91.2 |
 Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 1.51K | $0.313 | $234.61 | -$238.63 |
 Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 800 | $0.330 | $220 | -$44 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31? | No | 140 | $0.978 | $136.15 | -$0.73 |
| Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 130 | $0.750 | $126.69 | +$29.19 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027? | No | 124.01 | $0.984 | $122.15 | +$0.12 |
| Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 500.01 | $0.080 | $110 | +$70 |
 Meituan announces a training pause by October 31? | No | 70 | $0.938 | $69.06 | +$3.39 |
 Will a third-place Senate candidate win at least 4% of the vote in 2026? | Yes | 61 | $0.960 | $60.85 | +$2.29 |
| Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 58.44 | $0.946 | $52.51 | -$2.78 |
 Z.ai announces a training pause by October 31? | No | 50 | $0.953 | $48.53 | +$0.86 |
 Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2028? | No | 170.71 | $0.283 | $40.12 | -$8.18 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31? | No | 40 | $0.950 | $35.92 | -$2.08 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 102.5 | $0.390 | $33.31 | -$6.66 |
 Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 400 | $0.050 | $26 | +$6 |
 Baidu announces a training pause by October 31? | No | 20 | $0.890 | $19.78 | +$1.98 |
 DeepSeek announces a training pause by October 31? | No | 20 | $0.890 | $19.45 | +$1.65 |
 Moonshot announces a training pause by October 31? | No | 20 | $0.890 | $19.38 | +$1.58 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 92.29 | $0.270 | $18.92 | -$6 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%? | Yes | 79.2 | $0.071 | $17.19 | +$11.56 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Maine before the midterms? | No | 20 | $0.640 | $17.1 | +$4.3 |
 Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 118.67 | $0.144 | $15.43 | -$1.7 |
| buy |
| 10.12 |
| $0.940 |
| $9.51 |
| 7h ago |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Yes | buy | 232.3 | $0.500 | $116.15 | 11h ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Yes | buy | 225 | $0.500 | $112.5 | 11h ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.500 | $15.63 | 11h ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Yes | buy | 0.4 | $0.500 | $0.2 | 11h ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Yes | buy | 29.6 | $0.500 | $14.8 | 11h ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Yes | buy | 6.24 | $0.500 | $3.12 | 11h ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Yes | buy | 17.61 | $0.500 | $8.81 | 11h ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Yes | buy | 57.6 | $0.500 | $28.8 | 11h ago |
 Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.027 | $8.1 | 1d ago |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | sell | 105.8 | $0.069 | $7.31 | 1d ago |
 Will the Ohio Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.342 | $13.66 | 1d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Yes | sell | 54.29 | $0.350 | $19 | 1d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Yes | sell | 545.7 | $0.350 | $191 | 1d ago |
| Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.946 | $17.97 | 2d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Yes | buy | 5.99 | $0.390 | $2.34 | 2d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Yes | buy | 293.64 | $0.380 | $111.58 | 2d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | 2d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.400 | $200 | 2d ago |
| Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 39.44 | $0.946 | $37.31 | 2d ago |
| Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | sell | 499.99 | $0.140 | $70 | 2d ago |
 Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.028 | $5.6 | 2d ago |
| Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.028 | $5.6 | 2d ago |
 Will Team Liquid win Worlds 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.009 | $2.7 | 2d ago |
 Will LYON win Worlds 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.005 | $1.5 | 2d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.077 | $3.85 | 2d ago |
| Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?No | buy | 14.19 | $0.940 | $13.34 | 2d ago |
| Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?No | buy | 23.17 | $0.940 | $21.78 | 3d ago |
| Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.080 | $80 | 3d ago |
| Will Democrats win the Texas Senate seat, and Republicans win Michigan and Maine?Yes | buy | 88.7 | $0.009 | $0.83 | 3d ago |
| Will Donald Trump visit Maine before the midterms?No | buy | 20 | $0.640 | $12.8 | 3d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes | buy | 29.2 | $0.065 | $1.9 | 3d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes | buy | 29.2 | $0.061 | $1.78 | 3d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.065 | $0.65 | 3d ago |
 Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.003 | $1.2 | 3d ago |
| Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.007 | $2.8 | 3d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 22?No | buy | 57.17 | $0.999 | $57.11 | 3d ago |
| Will LYON win Worlds 2026?Yes | buy | 220 | $0.007 | $1.54 | 3d ago |
| Will Team Liquid win Worlds 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.007 | $2.1 | 3d ago |
| Will LYON win Worlds 2026?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.005 | $0.36 | 3d ago |
| Ohio Senate favorite on November 2?Brown | sell | 12.9 | $0.975 | $12.58 | 4d ago |
| Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.940 | $2.02 | 7d ago |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 292.51 | $0.005 | $1.46 | 8d ago |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.005 | $0.01 | 8d ago |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.005 | $0.01 | 8d ago |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.005 | $0.01 | 8d ago |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 2.39 | $0.005 | $0.01 | 8d ago |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 2.05 | $0.005 | $0.01 | 8d ago |
| Will a third-place Senate candidate win at least 4% of the vote in 2026?Yes | buy | 61 | $0.960 | $58.56 | 8d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.