Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 25% on 25 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 39 daily closes on record from 25 Jul 2025 to 1 Sep 2025, the highest close was 40.5% on 6 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 40.5% on 6 Aug 2025. $198.72K traded over the market's life.
68 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 9:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 39 points, 25 Jul 2025 – 1 Sep 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2025 | 25.0% |
| 1 Sep 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| acascuseme | Yes | 20.93K |
| einstein | Yes | 16.96K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 3.09K |
| RhinoBob84 | Yes | 2.7K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly releases a standalone web browser that is intended for general web browsing and is available for use by the public in at least one country or region by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," such a browser must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling free waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. Browser extensions, plugins, or integrations within third-party browsers do not count; it must be a standalone browser application. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from OpenAI. If there is ambiguity, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/openai-browser-by-august-31
| Deserted-Raiment | Yes | 2.11K |
| gillet | Yes | 1.26K |
| 47Art | Yes | 1K |
| Lgbjbh | Yes | 579.2 |
| Ornery-Publicity | Yes | 337.1 |
| hydra-965 | Yes | 161.6 |
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