Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 84% on 2 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 246 daily closes on record from 2 May 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 99.9% on 1 Jan 2026 and the lowest 76.5% on 6 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 76.5% on 6 Jun 2025. $394.18K traded over the market's life.
256 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 4:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 246 points, 2 May 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 70%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 May 2025 | 84.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 13.13K |
| 00000000AAAAAAAA | No | 5.12K |
| Bodecker | No | 2.93K |
This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the successor to Elon Musk as CEO of Tesla by December 31, 2025. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Tesla. The resolution source will be public statements from Tesla.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-replace-musk-as-tesla-ceo
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| PicklesPumps | No | 1.03K |
| Untried-Heir | No | 897.96 |
| bgbgtt | No | 480 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 429.44 |
| bennettbeverly | No | 249.95 |
| 77ghjhjk | No | 191.8 |
| jonasdocfol | No | 190.74 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
