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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?Yes | buy | 658.65 | $0.046 | $30.41 | May 6, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 15.45 |
| $0.941 |
| $14.54 |
| Mar 19, 2026 |
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?Yes | sell | 8.47 | $0.999 | $8.46 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?Yes | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?Yes | buy | 8.15 | $0.614 | $5 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?Yes | buy | 15.56 | $0.450 | $7 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-03?Yes | buy | 26.67 | $0.150 | $4 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 15.46 | $0.647 | $10 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 28.97 | $0.173 | $5 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 8.86 | $0.790 | $7 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.340 | $20 | Feb 16, 2026 |
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?Yes | buy | 27.4 | $0.730 | $20 | Feb 16, 2026 |
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?Yes | sell | 40.25 | $0.999 | $40.21 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?Yes | buy | 40.26 | $0.770 | $31 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13?Yes | buy | 30.65 | $0.620 | $19 | Feb 13, 2026 |
Mavericks vs. LakersLakers | buy | 19.18 | $0.730 | $14 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 571.43 | $0.007 | $4 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 26.39 | $0.758 | $20 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 25.42 | $0.950 | $24.15 | Feb 11, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 25.42 | $0.590 | $15 | Jan 20, 2026 |
Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 32.57 | $0.307 | $10 | Jan 15, 2026 |
US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 21.13 | $0.710 | $15 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?Yes | buy | 13.47 | $0.743 | $10 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 46.19 | $0.416 | $19.2 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Will Alec Baldwin be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.420 | $21 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Epstein client list released in 2025?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.090 | $20 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?Yes | buy | 2.05K | $0.010 | $20 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?No | buy | 404.58 | $0.049 | $20 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 161.54 | $0.130 | $21 | Aug 21, 2025 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 12.5 | $0.790 | $9.88 | Aug 21, 2025 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 11.23 | $0.870 | $9.77 | Aug 21, 2025 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Aug 9, 2025 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Aug 9, 2025 |
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?No | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Diddy convicted of a felony?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.120 | $20 | Jun 30, 2025 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?Yes | buy | 277.76 | $0.036 | $10 | Jun 20, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.270 | $15 | Jun 20, 2025 |
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 373.13 | $0.268 | $100 | Jun 20, 2025 |
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?No | buy | 2.33K | $0.344 | $800 | Jun 5, 2025 |
Knicks vs. PacersPacers | buy | 26.42 | $0.530 | $14 | May 25, 2025 |
Elon out of Trump administration before July?Yes | sell | 54.15 | $0.180 | $9.75 | May 25, 2025 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?Yes | sell | 64.96 | $0.070 | $4.55 | May 25, 2025 |
Elon out of Trump administration before July?Yes | buy | 54.16 | $0.320 | $17.33 | May 4, 2025 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?Yes | buy | 64.97 | $0.290 | $18.84 | Apr 23, 2025 |
Mike Waltz out of Trump administration before May?Yes | sell | 78.57 | $0.050 | $3.93 | Apr 10, 2025 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?Yes | sell | 76.92 | $0.050 | $3.85 | Apr 10, 2025 |
Will egg prices be between $5.50 and $5.75 in March?Yes | buy | 20.72 | $0.444 | $9.2 | Mar 28, 2025 |
Mike Waltz out of Trump administration before May?Yes | buy | 78.57 | $0.140 | $11 | Mar 28, 2025 |