Analytics
Resolved Yes on 7 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.2%. Yes opened at 73.5% on 26 Jul 2025. Before it settled, the high was 98.2% on 7 Aug 2025 and the low 58% on 3 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 87% on 5 Aug 2025. $876.82K traded over the market's life.
177 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 9, 12:57 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 13 points · 26 Jul 2025 – 7 Aug 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jul 2025 | 73.5% |
| 7 Aug 2025 | 98.2% |
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Joe-Biden | No | 81.59K |
| horiz0n | No | 12.2K |
| gopfan2 | No | 8.36K |
| vbohu | No | 6.4K |
| ciro2 | No | 5.8K |
| coby | No | 4K |
| P-olys-cam | No | 3K |
| 2smart4u | No | 1.33K |
| fchoso | No | 1.07K |
| jalako | No | 1.04K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on predicting the release date of GPT-5.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/when-will-gpt-5-be-released
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