Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 22.5% on 12 Jul 2025. Before it settled, the high was 53% on 1 Aug 2025 and the low 0.1% on 1 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 53% on 1 Aug 2025. $28.17K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 9:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 52 points · 12 Jul 2025 – 1 Sep 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2025 | 22.5% |
| 1 Sep 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| lineth | Yes | 276.39 |
| elonmusk - 15241 | Yes | 230.74 |
| lissartter | Yes | 167.29 |
| singularityman | Yes | 133.27 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Grok has a native macOS desktop application publicly available for download in the U.S by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The application must be officially released by xAI (or Elon Musk via official xAI/Grok communication channels). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-grokxai-have-a-macos-desktop-app-live-by-september-1st
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 100 |
| johndanjo | Yes | 76.5 |
| 420niklas | Yes | 66.67 |
| hedge3002 | Yes | 50.25 |
| hakankz | Yes | 50.2 |
| sherman821 | Yes | 48.39 |
