What is the “Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Which country will Pope Leo visit first?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to close on Dec 31, 2025. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to the first sovereign country that Pope Leo XIV visits after becoming pope. Italy will not be considered for this market. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Pope Leo XIV physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed country. Whether or not Pope Leo XIV enters the country's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. If Pope Leo XIV doesn't visit any country by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

24h volume ($427.31K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Vultax loaded 121 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 93.0% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Nov 28, 4:39 PM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-pope-leo-visit-turkey-first) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first? | Polymarket odds & analytics

Vultaxbeta

Delayed

Analytics

Predictions Analytics

Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first? | Polymarket odds & analytics | Vultax

Market referencewill-pope-leo-visit-turkey-firstUpdated Nov 28, 2025

Closed

Scheduled close Dec 31, 2025

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Observed Yes 100¢Observed No 0¢

24h Volume

$427.3K

Scheduled close

Dec 31, 2025

Overview Prices Holders Trades

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Nov 28, 2025

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Nov 28, 2025

This resolved market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Closed

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

100.0%

The venue reports this market closed, but no resolved outcome is inferred.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

121

Wallets

121

Top 10 share

93%

Yes / No shares

736.05 / 37.46K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

249

Loaded notional

Reported market positionsProvider-reported rows from the displayed market-position observation.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	28.7K	0.0%	$0
Bright Horizon 81D6	No	1.98K	0.1%	$1.98K

Which country will Pope Leo visit first?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Which country will Pope Leo visit first?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?: Trading is scheduled to close on Dec 31, 2025. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to the first sovereign country that Pope Leo XIV visits after becoming pope. Italy will not be considered for this market. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Pope Leo XIV physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed country. Whether or not Pope Leo XIV enters the country's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. If Pope Leo XIV doesn't visit any country by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: 24h volume ($427.31K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Top holders by valueReturned holders ranked by current holding value. Profit and win rate are unavailable for this sample.

Trader	Current holding value
WinOne	$372.02
fishman123	$150
HerrGetrappel	$52.33
janonym	$50
nlman	$16.67
tomas123	$10.53
Kilodeo	$10.42
oughveoo979	$7.64
gharessewn782	$6.82
Superb-Gnat	$5.66
Nechypor	$5.61
okinawa	$5