Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | buy | 30 | $0.490 | $14.7 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.280 |
| $5.6 |
| Aug 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be 43.5–43.9% on August 15?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.450 | $9 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week?No | buy | 40 | $0.660 | $26.4 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.180 | $4 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 280.78 | $0.018 | $5 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Trump approval >45% on August 1?No | buy | 50 | $0.500 | $25 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.720 | $15 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will Germany beat France?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| Will Spain win the UEFA Nations League?No | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Any more New Orleans escapees captured by Friday?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 24.15 | $0.414 | $10 | May 25, 2025 |
 DFB-Pokal Final: Arminia vs. VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | May 24, 2025 |
| UEFA Nations League: Germany vs. Portugal (To Advance)Germany | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | May 23, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo visit another country first?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.141 | $10.07 | May 23, 2025 |
 Any more New Orleans escapees captured before Monday?Yes | buy | 12.9 | $0.310 | $4 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo visit another country first?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?No | sell | 9.71 | $0.999 | $9.7 | May 18, 2025 |
| Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 9.71 | $0.515 | $5 | May 16, 2025 |
 AOC announces senate run in 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?Yes | buy | 20.27 | $0.493 | $10 | May 16, 2025 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.120 | $15 | May 16, 2025 |