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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will anyone say "iPhone" 100+ times during Apple launch event on September 9?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Aug 31, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 11.11 |
| $0.270 |
| $3 |
| Aug 29, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "Revolutionary" during Apple launch event on September 9?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 U.S. fertility rate up in Q2 2025?Yes | sell | 2.85 | $0.650 | $1.85 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 4 and 6 seconds?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump disparage Volodymyr Zelenskyy on Monday?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump disparage Vladimir Putin on Friday?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "AI" or "Drone" during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "President Xi" during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crimea" during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.210 | $3 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as PM of Thailand by August 31?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.720 | $4.5 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Yes | sell | 2.76 | $0.962 | $2.66 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump mention "Sydney Sweeney" again by Friday?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Yes | buy | 2.76 | $0.362 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will US airdrop aid into Gaza?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Missing Epstein cell footage released by August 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.060 | $0.67 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will anyone say "Streaming" during the Q3 2025 Apple earnings call?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "M3" during the Q3 2025 Apple earnings call?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as PM of Thailand by August 31?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | sell | 1.19 | $0.973 | $1.16 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?No | sell | 1.61 | $0.020 | $0.03 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Big beautiful bill" during his AI speech on July 23?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?Yes | sell | 9.55 | $0.270 | $2.58 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win Queens in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win Manhattan in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win Brooklyn in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 arch Will Justin Bieber's album 'SWAG' have over 150k sales in its first week?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Justin Bieber's album "SWAG" debut at #1 in its first week?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy before August?No | sell | 1.44 | $0.940 | $1.35 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.36 | $0.738 | $1 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will "Smurfs" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 30–39?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| U.S. fertility rate up in Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Trump approval >40% on July 1?No | sell | 50 | $0.001 | $0.05 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will Wesley So win the 2025 SuperUnited Rapid & Blitz Croatia tournament?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 SuperUnited Rapid & Blitz Croatia tournament?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jun 27, 2025 |