Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 10.5% on 10 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 202 daily closes on record from 10 May 2025 to 27 Nov 2025, the highest close was 10.5% on 10 May 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 27 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points down, to 1.6% on 13 May 2025. $79.29K traded over the market's life.
109 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 28, 8:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 202 points, 10 May 2025 – 27 Nov 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 May 2025 | 10.5% |
| 27 Nov 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 28.7K |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 1.72K |
| Reed.fal | Yes | 909.25 |
This market will resolve to the first sovereign country that Pope Leo XIV visits after becoming pope. Italy will not be considered for this market. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Pope Leo XIV physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed country. Whether or not Pope Leo XIV enters the country's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. If Pope Leo XIV doesn't visit any country by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-country-will-pope-leo-visit-first
New to prediction markets?
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 834 |
| tailevent | Yes | 600 |
| andryang00 | Yes | 526.48 |
| panoramacoupe | Yes | 402.63 |
| ArbiTrader.Zim | Yes | 400.02 |
| untaken | Yes | 400 |
| Paulpatrol | Yes | 333.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
