Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 2.66K | $0.857 | $2.54K | +$260.95 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Yes | buy | 413.18 | $0.484 | $200 | 8d ago |
|
| No |
| 378.54 |
| $0.792 |
| $323.65 |
| +$23.65 |
| Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | Yes | 413.18 | $0.484 | $204.52 | +$4.52 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 63.49 | $0.630 | $53.02 | +$13.02 |
| Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | Yes | 372.91 | $0.134 | $31.7 | -$18.3 |
| buy |
| 372.91 |
| $0.134 |
| $50 |
| 27d ago |
| Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy?No | buy | 378.54 | $0.793 | $300 | 27d ago |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 259.74 | $0.770 | $200 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 259.74 | $0.770 | $200 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | sell | 76.92 | $0.580 | $44.61 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.170 | $85 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.200 | $100 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.650 | $50 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 783.73 | $0.750 | $587.8 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 400 | $0.750 | $300 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 63.49 | $0.630 | $40 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 383.73 | $0.800 | $306.98 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 540.54 | $0.740 | $400 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 2.58K | $0.860 | $2.22K | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 2.41K | $0.924 | $2.22K | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 226.92 | $0.590 | $133.88 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 127.75 | $0.430 | $54.93 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 127.76 | $0.450 | $57.49 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 78.95 | $0.380 | $30 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | sell | 83.33 | $0.630 | $52.5 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No | sell | 76.08 | $0.460 | $35 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 77.72 | $0.570 | $44.3 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 121.95 | $0.360 | $43.9 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No | buy | 76.09 | $0.460 | $35 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 121.95 | $0.410 | $50 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.600 | $50 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 78.95 | $0.760 | $60 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 237.5 | $0.800 | $190 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 419.98 | $0.680 | $285.59 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?No | sell | 158.11 | $0.631 | $99.81 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?No | buy | 158.11 | $0.653 | $103.26 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?No | sell | 171.6 | $0.602 | $103.26 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?No | buy | 171.6 | $0.520 | $89.15 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 100.28 | $0.889 | $89.15 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 419.98 | $0.640 | $268.79 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 302.36 | $0.889 | $268.8 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 2.81K | $0.840 | $2.36K | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?No | buy | 11.47 | $0.940 | $10.78 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 3.35K | $0.075 | $250 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 1.01K | $0.746 | $750 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 1.36K | $0.699 | $952.83 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | sell | 1.44K | $0.660 | $952.84 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 1.44K | $0.679 | $980.07 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 481.2 | $0.100 | $48.12 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Megaquake before August?No | sell | 50 | $0.962 | $48.12 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.140 | $144 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Megaquake before August?No | buy | 98.81 | $0.916 | $90.51 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | sell | 631.53 | $0.143 | $90.51 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Megaquake before August?No | buy | 103.08 | $0.919 | $94.73 | Jul 2, 2025 |