Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 11.5% on 6 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 186 daily closes on record from 6 Dec 2025 to 1 Jul 2026 (22 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 11.5% on 6 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jul 2026. $68.33K traded over the market's life.
127 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 186 points, 6 Dec 2025 – 1 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Dec 2025 | 11.5% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Merdis | Yes | 2.28K |
| optipoba | Yes | 2.13K |
| Unpleasant-Supermarket | Yes | 1.8K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Giorgia Meloni ceases to be the Prime Minister of Italy for any period of time between December 5, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/meloni-out-as-prime-minister-of-italy-by-june-30
New to prediction markets?
| Teeming-Cinder | Yes | 1.65K |
| hkmp5 | Yes | 1.62K |
| querty | Yes | 1.06K |
| Coordinated-Girlfriend | Yes | 1.01K |
| labistiiia | Yes | 983.07 |
| davali | Yes | 926.63 |
| Beloved-Survival | Yes | 824.16 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
