Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 587.45 | $0.220 | $49.93 | -$79.31 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 647.7 | $0.181 | $117.06 | Feb 5, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 647.7 |
| $0.181 |
| $36.92 |
| -$80.14 |
| buy |
| 587.45 |
| $0.220 |
| $129.24 |
| Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?No | sell | 50.1 | $0.090 | $4.51 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo visit another country first?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.250 | $27.49 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?No | buy | 50.65 | $0.360 | $18.23 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.03K | $0.270 | $548.24 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.03K | $0.272 | $551.84 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Yes | sell | 240 | $0.718 | $172.33 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.530 | $53 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Yes | buy | 240 | $0.797 | $191.3 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.400 | $160.16 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.550 | $220 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.006 | $2.4 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | sell | 530 | $0.014 | $7.42 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.610 | $12.81 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 33.7 | $0.450 | $15.17 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 770 | $0.230 | $177.1 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 770 | $0.550 | $423.5 | May 19, 2025 |
 Trump renames Persian Gulf to "Arabian Gulf" in May?No | sell | 190 | $0.977 | $185.63 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.191 | $76.35 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.250 | $25 | May 11, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.190 | $95 | May 10, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.229 | $114.72 | May 10, 2025 |
 Another India x Pakistan ceasefire announced by Friday?Yes | buy | 124.77 | $0.801 | $100 | May 10, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 230 | $0.330 | $75.9 | May 10, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?No | buy | 171 | $0.470 | $80.37 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will India invade Pakistan before July?No | sell | 112.54 | $0.880 | $99.04 | May 10, 2025 |
| Will India invade Pakistan before July?No | sell | 274.58 | $0.920 | $252.61 | May 10, 2025 |
| Will India invade Pakistan before July?No | buy | 109.2 | $0.870 | $95 | May 10, 2025 |
| Will India invade Pakistan before July?No | buy | 344.83 | $0.870 | $300 | May 10, 2025 |
| Will India invade Pakistan before July?Yes | sell | 269.98 | $0.130 | $35.1 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 254.59 | $0.220 | $56.01 | May 10, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | buy | 450 | $0.820 | $369 | May 10, 2025 |
| Trump renames Persian Gulf to "Arabian Gulf" in May?No | buy | 175 | $0.340 | $59.5 | May 9, 2025 |
| Trump renames Persian Gulf to "Arabian Gulf" in May?No | buy | 15 | $0.330 | $4.95 | May 9, 2025 |
 Fartcoin Up or Down on May 9?Down | buy | 231.28 | $0.108 | $25 | May 9, 2025 |
 Trump EO implementing “most favored nation” drug pricing by next Friday?No | buy | 25.94 | $0.350 | $9.08 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will Francis Arinze be the next pope?Yes | buy | 244.96 | $0.007 | $1.68 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope?Yes | buy | 1.8K | $0.006 | $10.8 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.029 | $8.6 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.042 | $42 | May 8, 2025 |
 Pakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil in May?No | buy | 214.76 | $0.140 | $30 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?No | buy | 135 | $0.300 | $40.5 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?No | buy | 80 | $0.500 | $40 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?No | buy | 187.94 | $0.813 | $152.88 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?No | buy | 140.85 | $0.710 | $100 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 60 or more times during the May meeting?No | buy | 34.18 | $0.585 | $20 | May 7, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 120.93 | $0.999 | $120.81 | May 7, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 120.94 | $0.979 | $118.4 | May 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.022 | $11 | May 7, 2025 |