Trump EO implementing “most favored nation” drug pricing by next Friday?

Resolved

Yes, settled May 12, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$141.3K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

May 12, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 12 May 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.7%. Yes opened at 71.5% on 9 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 9 May 2025 to 12 May 2025, the highest close was 97.7% on 12 May 2025 and the lowest 71.5% on 9 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 97.7% on 12 May 2025. $141.31K traded over the market's life.

9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 14, 12:22 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 9 May 2025 – 12 May 2025, chart shows 60%–100%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
9 May 2025	71.5%
12 May 2025	97.7%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Salman90	No	125
masterbetter469	No	10.53
Jeaden001	No	10.53
Zhunter	No	6.76

9 of 9 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any executive order by May 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, that directs his administration to implement a "most favored nation" policy for drug pricing—defined as tying the price the U.S. government pays for certain prescription drugs (e.g., under Medicare or Medicaid) to the lower prices paid in other developed countries. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.