Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 24.82 | $0.500 | $12.54 | +$0.12 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 800.26 | $0.410 | $328.11 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 5 |
| $0.890 |
| $4.99 |
| +$0.54 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 24 | $0.499 | $4.5 | -$7.48 |
 Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 3.03 | $0.910 | $3.03 | +$0.27 |
 Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 3 | $0.998 | $3 | +$0 |
 Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 3 | $0.994 | $2.99 | +$0.01 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.170 | $2.75 | -$5.75 |
 Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 50 | $0.500 | $2.25 | -$22.75 |
 Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 86 | $0.500 | $2.11 | -$40.89 |
 Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 2.09 | $0.994 | $2.08 | +$0.01 |
 Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 2 | $0.995 | $2 | +$0.01 |
 Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 2 | $0.993 | $2 | +$0.01 |
 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 2 | $0.991 | $2 | +$0.01 |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 2 | $0.984 | $2 | +$0.03 |
 Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 2 | $0.990 | $1.99 | +$0.01 |
 Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 2 | $0.975 | $1.99 | +$0.04 |
 Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 2 | $0.994 | $1.98 | -$0.01 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 2 | $0.962 | $1.96 | +$0.04 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 2 | $0.966 | $1.95 | +$0.02 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 25 | $0.390 | $1.88 | -$7.88 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 2 | $0.925 | $1.61 | -$0.24 |
 Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 86 | $0.496 | $1.59 | -$41.06 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 50 | $0.500 | $1.28 | -$23.73 |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 50 | $0.500 | $1.13 | -$23.88 |
 Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 1 | $0.994 | $1 | +$0.01 |
| buy |
| 5K |
| $0.061 |
| $303.51 |
| Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?No | buy | 4.22K | $0.118 | $500 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.834 | $41.7 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 50 | $0.949 | $47.45 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?Yes | buy | 25.52 | $0.850 | $21.69 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 50 | $0.949 | $47.45 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.22 | $0.059 | $0.31 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.850 | $42.5 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?No | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.370 | $18.5 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.630 | $31.5 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?No | sell | 50 | $0.480 | $24 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?No | sell | 26.63 | $0.850 | $22.64 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?No | sell | 25 | $0.600 | $15 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 148.85 | $0.800 | $119.08 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?No | buy | 51 | $0.051 | $2.6 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?No | sell | 50 | $0.162 | $8.1 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.838 | $41.9 | Oct 12, 2025 |
| Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.940 | $47 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?No | buy | 43.38 | $0.025 | $1.08 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser in 2025?No | buy | 7.42 | $0.280 | $2.08 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.028 | $1.43 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.730 | $3.65 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.750 | $37.5 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 41.18 | $0.050 | $2.06 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.800 | $40 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 50 | $0.944 | $47.2 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.068 | $3.4 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 17 | $0.420 | $7.14 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 13.48 | $0.450 | $6.07 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 50 | $0.970 | $48.5 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Macron out by October 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 48.37 | $0.055 | $2.66 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Macron out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.12 | $0.320 | $1.64 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 33.65 | $0.190 | $6.39 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.031 | $1.55 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?No | sell | 10 | $0.780 | $7.8 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 10.74 | $0.020 | $0.21 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.300 | $15 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Taylor Swift holds top ten spots on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18th?No | sell | 13.9 | $0.110 | $1.53 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | buy | 50 | $0.340 | $17 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.329 | $16.45 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.440 | $7.92 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 50 | $0.966 | $48.3 | Oct 3, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.300 | $9 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?No | sell | 21 | $0.490 | $10.29 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?Yes | buy | 57.78 | $0.006 | $0.35 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1?No | sell | 17 | $0.060 | $1.02 | Sep 30, 2025 |