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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 790 | $0.900 | $746.55 | +$35.55 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 790 | $0.900 | $711 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 712 |
| $0.985 |
| $701.32 |
| Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 699 | $0.978 | $683.62 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 472.24 | $0.981 | $463.27 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 210.97 | $0.948 | $200 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 80.24 | $0.970 | $77.83 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group BPARIVISION | buy | 200 | $0.595 | $118.94 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 350.43 | $0.991 | $347.28 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 217.88 | $0.989 | $215.48 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 347.28 | $0.993 | $344.85 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?No | buy | 558.65 | $0.983 | $549.15 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Trump out as President in 2025?No | buy | 542.53 | $0.992 | $538.19 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 354.42 | $0.926 | $328.19 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 115.55 | $0.740 | $85.51 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?No | sell | 4.72 | $0.290 | $1.37 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2025?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.140 | $2.1 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Cristiano Ronaldo launch a token by December 31?Yes | sell | 42.55 | $0.080 | $3.4 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Assad leaves Russia before 2026?Yes | sell | 199.99 | $0.055 | $11 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will FvD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?Yes | sell | 128.98 | $0.050 | $6.45 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will CDA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No | sell | 31.25 | $0.110 | $3.44 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Frankenstein be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 200.01 | $0.265 | $52.94 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Football.Fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.250 | $50 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will USDT market cap hit $200B by December 31?Yes | sell | 169.85 | $0.427 | $72.59 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2025?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.170 | $0.85 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2025?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.170 | $0.85 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 121.96 | $0.070 | $8.54 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 27–30%?No | sell | 12.49 | $0.660 | $8.24 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.660 | $65.99 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 43.66 | $0.640 | $27.94 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by October 31?Yes | sell | 99.89 | $0.070 | $6.99 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 26 | $0.760 | $19.76 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster EditionYes | sell | 25.76 | $0.610 | $15.71 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 134.94 | $0.530 | $71.52 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | sell | 188.49 | $0.080 | $15.08 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?Yes | sell | 33.5 | $0.190 | $6.37 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Emma Stone be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 77.5 | $0.470 | $36.43 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Another France debt downgrade by December 31?No | sell | 99.97 | $0.170 | $16.99 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?No | sell | 13.39 | $0.260 | $3.48 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 36 | $0.650 | $23.4 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?Yes | sell | 31.2 | $0.210 | $6.55 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $300k in 2025?Yes | sell | 7.63 | $0.240 | $1.83 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?Yes | sell | 5.2 | $0.210 | $1.09 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $300k in 2025?Yes | sell | 76.02 | $0.250 | $19.01 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $300k in 2025?Yes | sell | 5.22 | $0.290 | $1.51 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $300k in 2025?Yes | sell | 68.93 | $0.290 | $19.99 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will BasedApp daily builder revenue hit $1M in 2025?Yes | sell | 58.93 | $0.120 | $7.07 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 10 | $0.660 | $6.6 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 More EU sanctions on Russia by October 31?Yes | sell | 193.71 | $0.230 | $44.55 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| More EU sanctions on Russia by October 31?Yes | sell | 6.28 | $0.250 | $1.57 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Oct 17, 2025 |