Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? | No | 520.6 | $0.866 | $508.63 | +$57.56 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?No | buy | 520.6 | $0.866 | $451.07 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 4.16 |
| $0.500 |
| $0.31 |
| -$1.77 |
| buy |
| 71.71 |
| $0.880 |
| $63.1 |
| Nov 29, 2025 |
 Trump imposes tariff on pharmaceuticals by August 31?Yes | sell | 77.13 | $0.045 | $3.49 | Aug 24, 2025 |
 Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?No | sell | 40.24 | $0.210 | $8.45 | Aug 24, 2025 |
 2025 August third hottest on record?No | sell | 77.01 | $0.040 | $3.08 | Aug 24, 2025 |
 Will the Seattle Mariners win the AL West Division?No | sell | 35 | $0.661 | $23.15 | Aug 24, 2025 |
 Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31?No | sell | 26 | $0.940 | $24.44 | Aug 24, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?Yes | sell | 36.15 | $0.240 | $8.68 | Aug 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines in 2025?Yes | sell | 47.62 | $0.640 | $30.48 | Aug 24, 2025 |
 OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2025?No | sell | 52 | $0.910 | $47.32 | Aug 24, 2025 |
 Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 American League Championship?No | sell | 65 | $0.820 | $53.3 | Aug 24, 2025 |
 Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 American League Championship?No | sell | 50.89 | $0.850 | $43.26 | Aug 24, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.025 | $0.65 | Aug 24, 2025 |
 India x Pakistan military clash by August 31?Yes | sell | 58.3 | $0.020 | $1.17 | Aug 24, 2025 |
| India x Pakistan military clash by August 31?Yes | sell | 6.92 | $0.021 | $0.15 | Aug 24, 2025 |
 Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.650 | $16.9 | Aug 24, 2025 |
 Will there be at least 1700 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?No | sell | 6.25 | $0.630 | $3.94 | Aug 24, 2025 |
 U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31?Yes | sell | 6.83 | $0.170 | $1.16 | Aug 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in August?Yes | sell | 51.99 | $0.080 | $4.16 | Aug 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?Yes | sell | 59.44 | $0.220 | $13.08 | Aug 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in August?Yes | sell | 77 | $0.050 | $3.85 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by August 31?Yes | sell | 57 | $0.040 | $2.28 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?No | sell | 50 | $0.760 | $38 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?No | sell | 26 | $0.770 | $20.02 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Fed governor resigns by October 31?No | sell | 40.21 | $0.840 | $33.78 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Stepanivka by September 30?Yes | sell | 92.51 | $0.350 | $32.38 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in August?Yes | sell | 77.89 | $0.110 | $8.57 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?No | sell | 77.19 | $0.490 | $37.82 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will no CEO be announced in 2025?No | sell | 73.21 | $0.530 | $38.8 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?No | sell | 38.13 | $0.220 | $8.39 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.400 | $10.4 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?No | sell | 25.99 | $0.810 | $21.05 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Doge ETF approved in 2025?Yes | sell | 26.61 | $0.670 | $17.83 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?No | sell | 30 | $0.260 | $7.8 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 No one announced as next James Bond?No | sell | 77.98 | $0.780 | $60.82 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 GTA VI released before June 2026?Yes | sell | 77 | $0.780 | $60.06 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?No | sell | 7.47 | $0.260 | $1.94 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?Yes | sell | 62.45 | $0.400 | $24.98 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?No | sell | 77.61 | $0.590 | $45.79 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?No | sell | 78 | $0.410 | $31.98 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No | sell | 55 | $0.310 | $17.05 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by October 31?Yes | sell | 77.66 | $0.420 | $32.62 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?No | sell | 101.99 | $0.600 | $61.19 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.390 | $11.31 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Switzerland in August?Yes | sell | 75.5 | $0.100 | $7.55 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 OpenAI social app in 2025?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.540 | $14.04 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will courts block Trump's D.C. takeover by August 31?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.110 | $2.86 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?No | sell | 77.73 | $0.480 | $37.31 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will a dozen eggs be between $3.25-3.50 in August?No | sell | 10 | $0.620 | $6.2 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?No | sell | 25 | $0.600 | $15 | Aug 23, 2025 |