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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 131.39 | $0.991 | $130.21 | Feb 7, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 19 |
| $0.996 |
| $18.92 |
| Sep 9, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 14 | $0.986 | $13.8 | Aug 28, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 21 | $0.997 | $20.94 | Jul 12, 2025 |
India strike on Pakistan before August?Yes | sell | 18.54 | $0.070 | $1.3 | Jun 23, 2025 |
Supreme Court unblocks Alien Enemies Act?Yes | sell | 23.68 | $0.500 | $11.84 | Jun 20, 2025 |
Any Dems convicted of voter fraud in 2025?No | sell | 57.25 | $0.090 | $5.15 | Jun 20, 2025 |
Will Trump Media invest in Ethereum before July?Yes | sell | 81.99 | $0.060 | $4.92 | Jun 20, 2025 |
New Orleans escape mastermind last man standing?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.210 | $0.25 | Jun 20, 2025 |
Will Trump impose large tariffs in 2025?No | sell | 56.98 | $0.070 | $3.99 | Jun 20, 2025 |
Gavin Newsom out as California Governor in 2025?Yes | sell | 81.99 | $0.060 | $4.92 | Jun 20, 2025 |
New Orleans escape mastermind last man standing?No | sell | 10 | $0.250 | $2.5 | Jun 20, 2025 |
New Orleans escape mastermind last man standing?No | sell | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?No | sell | 82 | $0.860 | $70.52 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Will Tadej Pogačar finish in the top five at the Tour de France 2025?No | sell | 82 | $0.100 | $8.2 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon Young Thug in 2025?Yes | sell | 41 | $0.080 | $3.28 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?Yes | sell | 72.02 | $0.140 | $10.08 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Will Ferland Mendy sign with a new club during the transfer window?Yes | sell | 82 | $0.044 | $3.64 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?No | sell | 82 | $0.240 | $19.68 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Cat 3+ hurricane hits Miami in 2025?No | sell | 35.81 | $0.830 | $29.72 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Will Innsbruck host Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 41 | $0.850 | $34.85 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Kraken IPO in 2025?No | sell | 59.16 | $0.750 | $44.37 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Tour de France 2025: Will 145+ riders finish?Yes | sell | 79.5 | $0.605 | $48.07 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?Yes | sell | 82 | $0.740 | $60.68 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Will "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be 90 or higher?No | sell | 59.74 | $0.760 | $45.4 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?Yes | sell | 12.22 | $0.340 | $4.15 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | sell | 81.99 | $0.130 | $10.66 | Jun 19, 2025 |
DeepSeek R2 released before July?Yes | sell | 47.89 | $0.024 | $1.15 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Will Palmeiras win Group A at the FIFA Club World Cup?No | sell | 33.74 | $0.530 | $17.88 | Jun 19, 2025 |
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?No | sell | 11.03 | $0.410 | $4.52 | Jun 19, 2025 |
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?No | sell | 21 | $0.410 | $8.61 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first?No | sell | 5.62 | $0.400 | $2.25 | Jun 19, 2025 |
SpaceX Starship fully reusable in 2025?No | sell | 26 | $0.690 | $17.94 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Will "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be 90 or higher?No | sell | 21 | $0.740 | $15.54 | Jun 19, 2025 |
SpaceX Starship fully reusable in 2025?No | sell | 20.99 | $0.600 | $12.59 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play in FIFA Club World Cup?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.015 | $0.32 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Argentina before July?Yes | sell | 81.99 | $0.060 | $4.92 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Will U.S. summer tourism decline in 2025?No | sell | 9.11 | $0.070 | $0.64 | Jun 18, 2025 |
Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?Yes | sell | 73 | $0.012 | $0.88 | Jun 18, 2025 |
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2025?No | sell | 57.3 | $0.840 | $48.13 | Jun 18, 2025 |
10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?Yes | sell | 24.94 | $0.110 | $2.74 | Jun 18, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?No | sell | 70.11 | $0.610 | $42.77 | Jun 18, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?No | sell | 4.75 | $0.660 | $3.14 | Jun 18, 2025 |
Japan parliament dissolved before July?Yes | sell | 48.99 | $0.040 | $1.96 | Jun 18, 2025 |
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?No | sell | 35.88 | $0.700 | $25.12 | Jun 18, 2025 |
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by December 31?No | sell | 81.99 | $0.025 | $2.05 | Jun 18, 2025 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% in 2025?Yes | sell | 34.96 | $0.200 | $6.99 | Jun 18, 2025 |
Pump.fun airdrop in Q2 2025?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.100 | $1.5 | Jun 18, 2025 |
Social security checks delayed/not sent before July?Yes | sell | 81.99 | $0.040 | $3.28 | Jun 18, 2025 |
Pump.fun airdrop in Q2 2025?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.100 | $1.6 | Jun 18, 2025 |