Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?No | sell | 329.03 | $0.424 | $139.49 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 10K |
| $0.004 |
| $40 |
| Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?Yes | sell | 529.93 | $0.007 | $3.86 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?No | sell | 231.48 | $0.017 | $3.89 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump veto a bill in 2025?Yes | sell | 583.1 | $0.110 | $64.07 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?No | sell | 831.08 | $0.025 | $20.78 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?No | buy | 250 | $0.700 | $175 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?No | sell | 43.53 | $0.519 | $22.61 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Odell Beckham Jr. in jail in 2025?No | sell | 29.52 | $0.856 | $25.27 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump end NASA in 2025?No | sell | 500.01 | $0.971 | $485.42 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump sue the BBC?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.596 | $297.78 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?No | sell | 249.98 | $0.861 | $215.28 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No | buy | 116.02 | $0.770 | $89.34 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 1.71K | $0.975 | $1.67K | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.71K | $0.939 | $1.61K | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | sell | 495.83 | $0.002 | $0.99 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will turnout be between 78% and 81% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?Yes | buy | 1.53K | $0.010 | $15.26 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.220 | $220 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.190 | $190 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.170 | $170 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 670.94 | $0.186 | $125.03 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 2.74K | $0.314 | $859.36 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.7K | $0.052 | $88.4 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 718 | $0.331 | $237.67 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 670.94 | $0.146 | $98.29 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | buy | 495.83 | $0.289 | $143.24 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?No | buy | 500 | $0.788 | $393.84 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.420 | $84 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 500 | $0.300 | $150 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced by October 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.177 | $88.51 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?No | buy | 346.85 | $0.268 | $92.79 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by November 30, 2025?No | sell | 25.5 | $0.950 | $24.22 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Trump executive action ending payments to Colombia by Friday?Yes | sell | 46.41 | $0.286 | $13.28 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump end NASA in 2025?No | buy | 500 | $0.950 | $475 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Trump executive action ending payments to Colombia by Friday?No | buy | 285 | $0.450 | $128.25 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Fox News have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.930 | $46.5 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?Yes | sell | 470.18 | $0.499 | $234.77 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?Yes | buy | 500.11 | $0.120 | $60.01 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by December 31?Yes | sell | 4.41 | $0.110 | $0.49 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by December 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.070 | $14 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by December 31?Yes | buy | 387.83 | $0.070 | $27.15 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Dilan Yeşilgöz out as VVD leader before Netherlands election?No | sell | 98.98 | $0.969 | $95.89 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?Yes | sell | 96 | $0.670 | $64.32 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Democrats win five elections in Nov?No | sell | 50 | $0.240 | $12 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.68 | $0.100 | $0.07 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?Yes | sell | 107.81 | $0.530 | $57.14 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Gerald Murnane win the 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature?No | buy | 30 | $0.800 | $24 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Democrats 66 (D66) win 10% or more of votes in Netherlands election?Yes | sell | 27.52 | $0.400 | $11.01 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will László Krasznahorkai win the 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature?No | buy | 1.42 | $0.860 | $1.22 | Oct 7, 2025 |