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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 994.97 | $0.920 | $963.13 | +$47.76 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 210.53 | $0.950 | $200 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 210.53 |
| $0.950 |
| $205.89 |
| +$5.89 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 3.7 | $0.730 | $3.09 | +$0.39 |
| buy |
| 97.77 |
| $0.968 |
| $94.68 |
| Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 76 | $0.976 | $74.18 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 994.97 | $0.920 | $915.37 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | buy | 201.74 | $0.988 | $199.32 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | buy | 414.85 | $0.966 | $400.75 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by October 31?Yes | sell | 100.91 | $0.050 | $5.05 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Přísaha get less than 3% of the vote in the Czech election?No | sell | 94.16 | $0.125 | $11.79 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Microstrategy's mNAV dip to 1.00 by December 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will the next James Bond be British?Yes | sell | 136.87 | $0.097 | $13.34 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?No | sell | 98.51 | $0.132 | $12.98 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Axiom launch a token in 2025?Yes | sell | 95.88 | $0.190 | $18.22 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?No | sell | 89.11 | $0.240 | $21.39 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will CZ return to Binance by December 31?Yes | sell | 104.75 | $0.227 | $23.8 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?Yes | sell | 155.45 | $0.160 | $24.87 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by December 31?Yes | sell | 139.24 | $0.270 | $37.59 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 2025 September third hottest on record?No | sell | 200 | $0.180 | $36 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 US bank failure by November 30?Yes | sell | 190.92 | $0.237 | $45.24 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 30-year mortgage rate below 6% by December 31?Yes | sell | 192.27 | $0.270 | $51.91 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Motoristé get between 5% and 7% of the vote in the Czech election?No | sell | 131.8 | $0.545 | $71.84 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will the Detroit Lions win the NFC North?No | sell | 9.99 | $0.510 | $5.09 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Rabby launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 40.32 | $0.610 | $24.6 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| 30-year mortgage rate below 6% by December 31?Yes | sell | 7.73 | $0.300 | $2.32 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Will Motoristé get between 5% and 7% of the vote in the Czech election?No | sell | 8.21 | $0.610 | $5.01 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by October 31?Yes | sell | 144.43 | $0.130 | $18.78 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?No | sell | 175.69 | $0.090 | $15.81 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 77.28 | $0.620 | $47.91 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?No | sell | 5.24 | $0.650 | $3.41 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Will Rabby launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 44.73 | $0.620 | $27.73 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 US government shutdown by October 1?Yes | sell | 373 | $0.981 | $365.91 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| US government shutdown by October 1?Yes | buy | 372.58 | $0.980 | $365.13 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| US government shutdown by October 1?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.981 | $490.5 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce David Malpass to replace Lisa Cook?No | sell | 28.9 | $0.860 | $24.85 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $400b on August 31?No | sell | 90.5 | $0.001 | $0.09 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will a dozen eggs be between $3.50-3.75 in September?No | sell | 70.1 | $0.850 | $59.58 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 SPD wins 14% or more of vote in Czech election?Yes | sell | 79.98 | $0.260 | $20.79 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 121.92 | $0.230 | $28.04 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in September?Yes | sell | 79.75 | $0.001 | $0.08 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit China by March 31?Yes | sell | 145.95 | $0.500 | $72.98 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 199.9 | $0.750 | $149.93 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Adelita Grijalva win AZ-07 by between 35% and 40%?No | sell | 119.6 | $0.002 | $0.24 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 58.22 | $0.480 | $27.95 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 16 | $0.500 | $8 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 92.7 | $0.620 | $57.47 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Piráti get between 11% and 14% of the vote in the Czech election?No | sell | 184.59 | $0.700 | $129.21 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will Piráti get between 11% and 14% of the vote in the Czech election?No | sell | 15.4 | $0.710 | $10.93 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 22.87 | $0.520 | $11.89 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 ANO wins 33% or more of vote in Czech election?Yes | sell | 129.99 | $0.240 | $31.2 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| ANO wins 33% or more of vote in Czech election?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.250 | $17.5 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?No | sell | 99.89 | $0.600 | $59.93 | Sep 30, 2025 |