What is the “Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Right now Yes trades at 3.6¢ and No at 96.4¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 3.6% for Yes and 96.4% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to close on Dec 31, 2026 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

How does this market resolve?

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December 2026?

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

24h volume ($41.65) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($34.42K) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Vultax loaded 99 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 61.6% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Oct 1, 1:07 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/spx-hit-dec-2026) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? Odds

Market referencespx-hit-5200-low-dec-2026Updated 1m ago

financeActive

Closes Dec 31, 2026 UTCmonthlymonthly-hit

Yes

3.6%

96.4%

Buy Yes 3.6¢Buy No 96.4¢

24h Volume

$42

Liquidity

$34.4K

Closes

Dec 31, 2026 UTC

Yes price

3.6¢

Market actionRead-only Polymarket handoff.

Yes

3.6%

96.4%

24h volume

$41.65

Vultax does not execute orders. These controls open the official Polymarket market or route back into the Vultax predictions terminal.

Trade

buy Yes· 3.6¢

Open in terminal$41.65 24h vol

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

5m ago

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Spread

0.4%

Observed

1m ago

Current public quote is shown when Vultax depth snapshots are unavailable.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Active

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

3.6%

Orderbook depth should be read with the displayed bid/ask, liquidity, and observation time.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

62%

Yes / No shares

38.56K / 38.56K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

487

Wallets

154

Loaded notional

Open market positionsProvider-reported rows from the displayed market-position observation.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
KOMZY	Yes	8.6K	12.8%	$8.6K	Aug 8, 10:37 AM UTC
QMG-VOL	No	5.73K	95.2%	$5.73K	Sep 17, 8:38 PM UTC

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: Right now Yes trades at 3.6¢ and No at 96.4¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 3.6% for Yes and 96.4% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?: Trading is scheduled to close on Dec 31, 2026 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?: What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December 2026?
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: 24h volume ($41.65) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($34.42K) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
Who holds the biggest positions in this market?: Vultax loaded 99 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 61.6% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Last trade

KOMZY

Yes

8.6K

12.8%

$8.6K

Aug 8, 10:37 AM UTC

QMG-VOL

5.73K

95.2%

$5.73K

Sep 17, 8:38 PM UTC

Trader	Current holding value
QMG-VOL	$5.53K
Last-Stepson	$5.34K
cryptoincome	$4.82K
orderfill	$2.94K
ourdemocracy	$2.89K
ourdemocracy2	$2.25K
nocturne481	$2.25K
Alegrandebig	$2.13K
Avamax	$2.08K
west77	$1.28K
Prexpect	$1.16K
Clown	$990.44