Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 102.77 | $0.973 | $101.34 | +$1.34 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 102.77 | $0.973 | $100 | 8d ago |
 |
| No |
| 110.21 |
| $0.916 |
| $98.63 |
| -$2.37 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 11.9 | $0.840 | $11.46 | +$1.46 |
 Will Peter Karst win the next Hannover mayoral election? | No | 7.23 | $0.830 | $7.11 | +$1.11 |
 Will Karsten Schneider win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election? | No | 7.13 | $0.842 | $7.08 | +$1.08 |
 Will USD/JPY hit 175 (High) in 2026? | No | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5.39 | +$0.39 |
| Will USD/JPY hit 180 (High) in 2026? | No | 5.26 | $0.950 | $4.97 | -$0.03 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 5.35 | $0.747 | $4.57 | +$0.57 |
 Will Thomas Schlick win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election? | No | 4.49 | $0.890 | $4.47 | +$0.47 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 3.59 | $0.837 | $3.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 2.09 | $0.957 | $2.06 | +$0.06 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | No | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1.29 | +$0.29 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3.16 | $0.634 | $1.18 | -$0.82 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
 Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | Yes | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | No | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election? | Yes | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 1.13 | $0.887 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 1.03 | $0.973 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Jonatan Vseviov be the next President of Estonia? | No | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| buy |
| 1.19 |
| $0.840 |
| $1 |
| 8d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | 8d ago |
 Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | 28d ago |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 11.27 | $0.976 | $11 | 28d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Jonatan Vseviov be the next President of Estonia?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Respublica win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Aq Jol win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.887 | $1 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will the 2026 Guinea-Bissau constitutional referendum pass?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.973 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.6%?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Péter Bárándy be the next President of Hungary?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Judit Polgár be the next President of Hungary?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.887 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.957 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.957 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | buy | 4.02 | $0.747 | $3 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | buy | 1.34 | $0.747 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.929 | $5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 3?Up | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Tanveer Shahnawaz win the 2026 Beaches—East York by-election?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Judit Polgár be the next President of Hungary?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will William Clouston get second place in the Clacton by-election?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 103.17 | $0.979 | $101 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Tina Browne be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 12.22 | $0.900 | $11 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $192 in August?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?Yes | buy | 11.12 | $0.989 | $11 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 in July?No | buy | 10.04 | $0.996 | $10 | Jul 30, 2026 |