Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 16.67 | $0.600 | $15.58 | +$5.58 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026?Yes | buy | 9.8 | $0.102 | $1 | May 6, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 5 |
| $0.200 |
| $1.33 |
| +$0.33 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1.3 | +$0.3 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes | 9.43 | $0.106 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
 Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026? | Yes | 2.33 | $0.430 | $0.94 | -$0.06 |
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.080 | $0.94 | -$0.06 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 31.25 | $0.032 | $0.58 | -$0.42 |
 Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 1.79 | $0.560 | $0.47 | -$0.53 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 3.03 | $0.330 | $0.47 | -$0.53 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.170 | $0.44 | -$0.56 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 19.09 | $0.105 | $0.44 | -$1.56 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 12.66 | $0.079 | $0.36 | -$0.64 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? | Yes | 4.35 | $0.230 | $0.28 | -$0.72 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.190 | $0.24 | -$0.76 |
 Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.190 | $0.21 | -$0.79 |
 UK Recession in 2026? | Yes | 2.62 | $0.457 | $0.16 | -$1.04 |
 Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 100 | $0.010 | $0.15 | -$0.85 |
 Japan recession in 2026? | Yes | 2.07 | $0.511 | $0.12 | -$0.93 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 90.91 | $0.011 | $0.05 | -$0.95 |
 Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 83.33 | $0.012 | $0.04 | -$0.96 |
| buy |
| 9.8 |
| $0.102 |
| $1 |
| May 6, 2026 |
| Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?Yes | buy | 56.71 | $0.018 | $1 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.079 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 2.79 | $0.359 | $1 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 13.7 | $0.073 | $1 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 16.75 | $0.060 | $1 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026Yes | buy | 8.06 | $0.124 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q2 2026Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Tesla deliver between 325000 and 350000 vehicles in Q2 2026Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Tesla deliver between 300000 and 325000 vehicles in Q2 2026Yes | buy | 90.2 | $0.011 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Tesla deliver less than 300000 vehicles in Q2 2026Yes | buy | 224.65 | $0.004 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 9.43 | $0.106 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 20.64 | $0.048 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 8.06 | $0.124 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 7.09 | $0.141 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on April 26?Yes | buy | 450.1 | $0.002 | $0.9 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Apr 24, 2026 |