What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved Yes on 1 Sep 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

99 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Sep 2, 7:18 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/next-mythos-class-model-released-by) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved Yes: Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?

Market referencenext-mythos-class-model-released-by-september-2-2026Updated 29d ago

techResolved

Yes · settled Sep 1, 2026 UTCanthropictech

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$124.2K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Sep 1, 2026 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

29d ago

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

29d ago

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

Yes

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

90%

Yes / No shares

1.19 / 57.15K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

340

Loaded notional

$46.25K

Yes sell at 99.9%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Sep 1, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

Move

+20 pts

Range

43.0% - 62.5%

Aug 29, 12:00 AM UTC to Sep 1, 12:00 AM UTC

Remaining positions after settlementWinners redeemed their shares, so these rows lean to the losing side. Not live orderbook depth or current OI.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
HippoMaro	No	19.96K	4.0%	$19.96K	Sep 1, 6:19 PM UTC
anoin123	No	11.19K	41.3%

Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?

Topic room

Every related market on one live board

Best AI Model oddsWhich company will have the best AI model at the end of this month?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved Yes on 1 Sep 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Last trade

HippoMaro

19.96K

4.0%

$19.96K

Sep 1, 6:19 PM UTC

anoin123

11.19K

41.3%

Trader	Current holding value
minipisik	$1.19
HippoMaro	$0
anoin123	$0
Mithrandir.	$0
neproebi	$0
vsepuchkom	$0
HerrieDavis	$0
unc0nnected	$0
x01292x	$0
0x8712	$0
balthazar	$0
Aks0	$0