Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.129 | $2.58 | 11d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 2.94 |
| $0.710 |
| $2.09 |
| 11d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | 11d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.020 | $0.8 | 11d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.97 | $0.201 | $3.21 | 11d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?No | sell | 14.99 | $0.230 | $3.45 | 11d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 14.99 | $0.250 | $3.75 | 11d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.153 | $3.06 | 11d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.130 | $5.2 | 12d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.520 | $0.62 | 12d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.074 | $0.74 | 12d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?No | sell | 63.51 | $0.250 | $15.88 | 12d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 63.52 | $0.290 | $18.42 | 12d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.936 | $18.73 | 12d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?No | buy | 56.25 | $0.320 | $18 | 12d ago |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.340 | $17 | 12d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.308 | $18.46 | 12d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.690 | $13.8 | 13d ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 18.81 | $0.900 | $16.93 | 13d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 18.8 | $0.900 | $16.92 | 13d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | 25d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 29.85 | $0.700 | $20.9 | 25d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?No | buy | 57.21 | $0.520 | $29.75 | 25d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.89 | $0.620 | $10.47 | 25d ago |
 Will Brittany Allen – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series?Yes | sell | 36.23 | $0.209 | $7.58 | 25d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 29.63 | $0.501 | $14.84 | 25d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 324.67 | $0.090 | $29.22 | 26d ago |
 Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes | buy | 29.65 | $0.397 | $11.78 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?Yes | buy | 52.81 | $0.568 | $30 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes | buy | 37.74 | $0.530 | $20 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on August 13?Yes | buy | 31.88 | $0.627 | $20 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 14?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.460 | $20 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.030 | $3 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.019 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?No | sell | 35.61 | $0.958 | $34.11 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?Yes | sell | 35.34 | $0.998 | $35.27 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.140 | $20 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 29.85 | $0.670 | $20 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 68.96 | $0.314 | $21.68 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.290 | $8.7 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 16?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.220 | $11 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 34.48 | $0.580 | $20 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.580 | $20 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?No | buy | 35.61 | $0.562 | $20 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?No | sell | 46.13 | $0.910 | $41.98 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?Yes | buy | 35.35 | $0.555 | $19.6 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.430 | $10 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.110 | $20 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Brittany Allen – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series?Yes | buy | 36.23 | $0.276 | $10 | Aug 6, 2026 |