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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 60 | $0.820 | $48.9 | -$0.3 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on September 30?No | sell | 55 | $0.560 | $30.8 | 51m ago |
 |
| No |
| 50 |
| $0.340 |
| $15.75 |
| -$1.25 |
 KOSPI all-time high before 2028? | No | 50 | $0.320 | $14.75 | -$1.25 |
| Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | No | 25 | $0.630 | $14.5 | -$1.25 |
 Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.49% in September? | Yes | 20 | $0.660 | $12.9 | -$0.3 |
 Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 20 | $0.650 | $12.5 | -$0.5 |
 Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.640 | $10.7 | -$2.1 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.82% in September? | No | 70 | $0.394 | $10.15 | -$17.45 |
 Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.610 | $9.7 | -$2.5 |
 Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on September 30, 2026? | No | 23.33 | $0.400 | $9.45 | +$0.12 |
 Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 11.43 | $0.780 | $9.09 | +$0.17 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 49.99 | $0.170 | $9 | +$0.5 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in September? | Yes | 45 | $0.490 | $7.88 | -$14.18 |
 Will Trump praise Warren Buffett in September? | Yes | 20 | $0.330 | $5.5 | -$1.1 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.73% in September? | Yes | 8 | $0.660 | $5 | -$0.28 |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 13.23 | $0.310 | $4.17 | +$0.07 |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in September? | Yes | 14.71 | $0.320 | $3.24 | -$1.47 |
 Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31? | Yes | 20 | $0.220 | $2.2 | -$2.2 |
 Will the PLQ win 32-35 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | Yes | 10 | $0.400 | $1.8 | -$2.2 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.33 | $0.400 | $1.8 | +$0.47 |
 Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | No | 1 | $0.200 | $0.96 | +$0.76 |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027? | No | 2.27 | $0.370 | $0.83 | -$0.01 |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.40% before 2027? | Yes | 1 | $0.660 | $0.63 | -$0.02 |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31? | Yes | 0.92 | $0.450 | $0.63 | +$0.22 |
 Will AfD win at least 20% of all valid second votes? | No | 1 | $0.690 | $0.62 | -$0.07 |
| sell |
| 40 |
| $0.680 |
| $27.2 |
| 3h ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in September?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.410 | $2.05 | 4h ago |
 Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 16 | $0.400 | $6.4 | 4h ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.97% in September?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.180 | $7.2 | 4h ago |
 Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.090 | $1.8 | 4h ago |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in September?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.200 | $8 | 5h ago |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | 9h ago |
 Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?No | sell | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | 10h ago |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.310 | $5.89 | 10h ago |
 Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 70 | $0.800 | $56 | 11h ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.73% in September?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.670 | $13.4 | 13h ago |
| Will the PLQ win 32-35 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.210 | $2.1 | 13h ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.590 | $11.8 | 14h ago |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?No | sell | 40 | $0.300 | $12 | 15h ago |
 Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.710 | $7.1 | 17h ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in September?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.500 | $25 | 21h ago |
 Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?No | sell | 50 | $0.600 | $30 | 21h ago |
| Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.410 | $8.2 | 23h ago |
 Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in September?No | sell | 40 | $0.530 | $21.2 | 1d ago |
 Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?No | sell | 6 | $0.540 | $3.24 | 1d ago |
 Will Drake release a new album by September 30?No | sell | 71 | $0.736 | $52.26 | 1d ago |
 Will Linke win between 11% and 14% of all valid second votes?No | sell | 20 | $0.730 | $14.6 | 1d ago |
 Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.00% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.130 | $5.85 | 1d ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | 1d ago |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.410 | $8.2 | 1d ago |
 Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 30 | $0.506 | $15.18 | 1d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.790 | $39.5 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.790 | $4.74 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.160 | $3.2 | 1d ago |
| Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 13 | $0.430 | $5.59 | 1d ago |
 Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.590 | $11.8 | 1d ago |
 Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Jun 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.660 | $3.3 | 1d ago |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 12 | $0.610 | $7.32 | 1d ago |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in September?No | sell | 20 | $0.260 | $5.2 | 1d ago |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | 1d ago |
| Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.25% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.730 | $14.6 | 1d ago |
 Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu in September?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.630 | $12.6 | 1d ago |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in September?No | sell | 11 | $0.520 | $5.72 | 2d ago |
| Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.00% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.820 | $16.4 | 2d ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.780 | $15.6 | 2d ago |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.762 | $15.24 | 2d ago |
 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | 2d ago |
 SSI public model released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | 2d ago |
 Will Tomáš Portlík be the next Mayor of Prague?No | sell | 1 | $0.350 | $0.35 | 2d ago |
 Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.520 | $10.4 | 2d ago |
 Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.456 | $22.78 | 2d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?No | sell | 49 | $0.610 | $29.89 | 2d ago |
| Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No | sell | 49 | $0.180 | $8.82 | 3d ago |
 Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.280 | $2.8 | 3d ago |