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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 12.15 | $0.494 | $7.24 | +$1.24 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on September 30?No | sell | 3.37 | $0.820 | $2.76 | 14m ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 8 |
| $0.750 |
| $7 |
| +$1 |
 Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.130 | $5.99 | +$4.99 |
 Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | Yes | 12.45 | $0.241 | $5.59 | +$2.59 |
 Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in September 2026? | Yes | 21 | $0.095 | $4.31 | +$2.31 |
 Will Claude go down 8-10 times in September? | Yes | 7.97 | $0.376 | $3.07 | +$0.07 |
 Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.110 | $2.86 | +$1.86 |
| Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | Yes | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2.78 | +$0.78 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2.31 | +$0.31 |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September? | Yes | 7.39 | $0.271 | $2.25 | +$0.25 |
| Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in September 2026? | No | 2.41 | $0.830 | $2.14 | +$0.14 |
 Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% in September? | No | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | No | 2.38 | $0.840 | $1.81 | -$0.19 |
 Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 5.56 | $0.360 | $1.58 | -$0.42 |
 Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 8.2 | $0.260 | $1.56 | -$0.57 |
 Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30? | Yes | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1.48 | +$0.48 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on September 30? | Yes | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1.46 | +$0.46 |
| Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13? | Yes | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1.44 | +$0.44 |
 Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1.42 | +$0.42 |
| Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | Yes | 3.61 | $0.277 | $1.36 | +$0.36 |
 Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%? | Yes | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
 Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
| Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | Yes | 5.41 | $0.185 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026? | Yes | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
| Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 47m? | No | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
| buy |
| 1.16 |
| $0.860 |
| $1 |
| 11h ago |
| Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 3.61 | $0.277 | $1 | 11h ago |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 2.88 | $0.347 | $1 | 11h ago |
 Will Denny Tamaki win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 6.15 | $0.290 | $1.78 | 20h ago |
 Will Genta Koja win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 13.33 | $0.660 | $8.8 | 20h ago |
| Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 3.34 | $0.240 | $0.8 | 20h ago |
| Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.500 | $0.76 | 20h ago |
 Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10–$2.20 in August?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | 1d ago |
 Will White House post 200+ posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.52 | $0.900 | $1.37 | 1d ago |
| Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will Claude go down 8-10 times in September?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% in September?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | 1d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 7?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% in September?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | 2d ago |
 Will Marília Campos win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | 2d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 6?Yes | sell | 1.53 | $0.300 | $0.46 | 2d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 6?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 6?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | 2d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 6?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | 2d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 6?Yes | sell | 1.28 | $0.970 | $1.24 | 2d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 6?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | 2d ago |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | sell | 1.38 | $0.740 | $1.02 | 2d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 6?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 6?Yes | sell | 1.14 | $0.990 | $1.13 | 2d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 6?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will White House post 160-179 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.57 | $0.050 | $0.18 | 2d ago |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.185 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.910 | $5.05 | 3d ago |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.54 | $0.210 | $0.95 | 3d ago |
| Will White House post 180-199 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will White House post 160-179 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will White House post 180-199 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.38 | $0.480 | $1.62 | 3d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will White House post 180-199 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will White House post 180-199 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | 3d ago |
 Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | 3d ago |
| Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 47m?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | 3d ago |
 Will "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | 3d ago |
 Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in September?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | 3d ago |