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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-08-25? | Yes | 28 | $0.250 | $14.14 | +$7.14 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 17.93 | $0.370 | $6.63 | 6h ago |
| No |
| 50 |
| $0.070 |
| $11.13 |
| +$7.63 |
 Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $750B and $1.00T at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 58.33 | $0.120 | $11.08 | +$4.08 |
 Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027? | No | 17.64 | $0.510 | $10.94 | +$1.94 |
 Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-09-19? | No | 17.07 | $0.410 | $10.58 | +$3.58 |
 Will it snow in Minneapolis, MN by October 31? | No | 21.87 | $0.320 | $10.28 | +$3.28 |
 Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Edouard? | Yes | 199.98 | $0.025 | $10.2 | +$5.28 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | No | 44.43 | $0.180 | $8.66 | +$0.67 |
 Will Hurricane Lowell make landfall in Hawaii? | No | 8.62 | $0.812 | $8.39 | +$1.39 |
 Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? | No | 9.97 | $0.702 | $8.34 | +$1.35 |
 Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $170B by September 30? | Yes | 11.69 | $0.320 | $8.24 | +$4.5 |
 Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | No | 17.24 | $0.406 | $8.06 | +$1.06 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | No | 10.49 | $0.667 | $8.01 | +$1.02 |
 Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026? | No | 15.28 | $0.589 | $6.54 | -$2.46 |
 Israeli forces enter Choukine by September 30? | Yes | 53.84 | $0.130 | $6.3 | -$0.7 |
 Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $92.5B by September 30? | Yes | 46.66 | $0.150 | $6.16 | -$0.84 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? | No | 43.47 | $0.161 | $4.96 | -$2.04 |
 Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026? | No | 53.84 | $0.130 | $4.58 | -$2.42 |
| Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31? | Yes | 5.94 | $0.680 | $4.3 | +$0.27 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 58.33 | $0.120 | $3.32 | -$3.67 |
 Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 17.76 | $0.120 | $2.93 | +$0.8 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 63.63 | $0.110 | $2.9 | -$4.1 |
 Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 96.50 in September? | Yes | 58.33 | $0.120 | $2.74 | -$4.26 |
 Will Discord’s market cap be less than $5B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 175 | $0.020 | $2.54 | -$0.96 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 200 | $0.010 | $2.4 | +$0.4 |
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?Yes| sell |
| 28 |
| $0.270 |
| $7.56 |
| 6h ago |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200?Yes | sell | 36.84 | $0.170 | $6.26 | 8h ago |
 Will Intercontinental Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.090 | $0.9 | 10h ago |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 10.93 | $0.710 | $7.76 | 10h ago |
 Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 30, 2026?No | sell | 63.63 | $0.310 | $19.73 | 12h ago |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 27 | $0.290 | $7.83 | 13h ago |
 ChatGPT Full Outage by September 30?Yes | sell | 30.43 | $0.240 | $7.3 | 18h ago |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.280 | $1.96 | 20h ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 41.17 | $0.150 | $6.18 | 21h ago |
 Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-09-13?No | sell | 2.31 | $0.640 | $1.48 | 23h ago |
| Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-09-13?No | sell | 10 | $0.640 | $6.4 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 7.1 | $0.620 | $4.4 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes | sell | 33.32 | $0.210 | $7 | 1d ago |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.85 | $0.600 | $1.71 | 1d ago |
 Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?No | sell | 46.66 | $0.130 | $6.07 | 1d ago |
| Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?No | sell | 9.21 | $0.770 | $7.09 | 1d ago |
 Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.179 | $1.79 | 2d ago |
 Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September?Yes | sell | 1.58 | $0.290 | $0.46 | 2d ago |
 Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?Yes | sell | 5.87 | $0.179 | $1.05 | 2d ago |
 Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by December 31?Yes | sell | 23.33 | $0.280 | $6.53 | 2d ago |
 OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?No | sell | 22.22 | $0.230 | $5.11 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 78.56 | $0.090 | $7.07 | 3d ago |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 6.92 | $0.840 | $5.81 | 3d ago |
 Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No | sell | 8.86 | $0.800 | $7.09 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?No | sell | 16.66 | $0.530 | $8.83 | 3d ago |
 Next DeepSeek Flash released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.13 | $0.780 | $6.34 | 3d ago |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Yes | sell | 25.92 | $0.270 | $7 | 3d ago |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30?No | sell | 14.28 | $0.490 | $7 | 3d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200?Yes | sell | 5.31 | $0.530 | $2.81 | 4d ago |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | sell | 19.2 | $0.270 | $5.18 | 4d ago |
 Will Seoul have between 100-125mm of precipitation in September?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.080 | $0.24 | 4d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.64 | $0.870 | $0.56 | 4d ago |
 Will CD Malacateco win on 2026-09-05?No | sell | 4.95 | $0.390 | $1.93 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.71 | $0.730 | $3.44 | 4d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?Yes | sell | 43.76 | $0.070 | $3.06 | 4d ago |
 Will there be a power grid emergency in Texas before October 1?Yes | sell | 33.71 | $0.050 | $1.69 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.88 | $0.690 | $4.06 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 28 | $0.190 | $5.32 | 4d ago |
| Will CD Malacateco win on 2026-09-05?No | sell | 6.49 | $0.390 | $2.53 | 4d ago |
 Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-09-05?Yes | sell | 15.9 | $0.430 | $6.84 | 4d ago |
| Will there be a power grid emergency in Texas before October 1?Yes | sell | 36.29 | $0.050 | $1.81 | 4d ago |
| Will CD Malacateco win on 2026-09-05?No | sell | 6.49 | $0.390 | $2.53 | 4d ago |
 Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?No | sell | 21.21 | $0.340 | $7.21 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?No | sell | 31.81 | $0.220 | $7 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?No | sell | 17.94 | $0.390 | $7 | 4d ago |
| Will Seoul have less than 75mm of precipitation in September?No | sell | 10.6 | $0.520 | $5.51 | 4d ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 14.72 | $0.300 | $4.42 | 4d ago |
 Will Russia target Kyiv on September 5, 2026?No | sell | 3.33 | $0.200 | $0.67 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.090 | $3.6 | 4d ago |