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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in September 2026? | No | 312.91 | $0.730 | $287.88 | +$59.45 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 49ers vs. Rams: O/U 40.5Over | sell | 27 | $0.460 | $12.42 | 9h ago |
 |
| No |
| 226.15 |
| $0.860 |
| $211.45 |
| +$16.96 |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | No | 230 | $0.886 | $208.15 | +$4.42 |
 Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September? | No | 403.78 | $0.695 | $205.93 | -$74.66 |
 Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? | No | 210 | $0.788 | $172.2 | +$6.6 |
 Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13? | No | 141.91 | $0.904 | $135.67 | +$7.35 |
 Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026? | No | 749.45 | $0.154 | $78.69 | -$36.56 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26? | Yes | 110 | $0.689 | $61.05 | -$14.75 |
 Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | No | 125.33 | $0.281 | $50.76 | +$15.57 |
| Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in September 2026? | Yes | 228 | $0.110 | $44.46 | +$19.38 |
| Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in September 2026? | Yes | 164 | $0.200 | $41.82 | +$9.02 |
| Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in September 2026? | Yes | 138 | $0.240 | $38.64 | +$5.52 |
| Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31? | Yes | 150 | $0.320 | $36.75 | -$11.32 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? | No | 193.9 | $0.113 | $35.19 | +$13.34 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 40 | $0.948 | $34.96 | -$2.96 |
 Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | No | 36.64 | $0.917 | $23.45 | -$10.16 |
| Will Claude go down 11-13 times in September? | Yes | 99 | $0.250 | $5.94 | -$18.81 |
| buy |
| 150 |
| $0.889 |
| $133.33 |
| 11h ago |
| Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?No | sell | 39 | $0.720 | $28.08 | 12h ago |
| 49ers vs. Rams: O/U 40.5Over | buy | 27.4 | $0.730 | $20 | 12h ago |
| 49ers vs. Rams: O/U 34.5Over | buy | 100 | $0.888 | $88.8 | 12h ago |
| 49ers vs. Rams: O/U 34.5Over | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | 12h ago |
| Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.30–$2.40 in August?No | buy | 226.15 | $0.860 | $194.49 | 1d ago |
| Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in September 2026?Yes | buy | 138 | $0.240 | $33.12 | 1d ago |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?No | buy | 144 | $0.116 | $16.66 | 1d ago |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?No | buy | 49.9 | $0.104 | $5.19 | 1d ago |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.660 | $46.2 | 1d ago |
| Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in September 2026?Yes | buy | 228 | $0.110 | $25.08 | 1d ago |
| Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in September 2026?Yes | buy | 164 | $0.200 | $32.8 | 1d ago |
| Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in September 2026?No | buy | 312.91 | $0.730 | $228.42 | 1d ago |
| Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in September 2026?No | sell | 198.72 | $0.880 | $174.87 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 314.89 | $0.090 | $28.34 | 1d ago |
| Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13?No | buy | 60 | $0.910 | $54.6 | 1d ago |
| Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?No | buy | 39 | $0.730 | $28.47 | 3d ago |
| Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | 3d ago |
| Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.210 | $4.2 | 3d ago |
| Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | buy | 10 | $0.918 | $9.18 | 4d ago |
| Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?No | buy | 26.64 | $0.917 | $24.43 | 4d ago |
| Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?No | buy | 100 | $0.850 | $85 | 4d ago |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?No | sell | 125 | $0.970 | $121.26 | 4d ago |
| Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?Yes | buy | 342 | $0.350 | $119.7 | 4d ago |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?No | sell | 125 | $0.971 | $121.36 | 4d ago |
| Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.400 | $6.8 | 6d ago |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 212.16 | $0.180 | $38.19 | 6d ago |
| Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?Yes | buy | 115 | $0.750 | $86.25 | 6d ago |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.33 | $0.270 | $1.44 | 6d ago |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 70 | $0.289 | $20.25 | 6d ago |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 64.6 | $0.720 | $46.51 | 6d ago |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 35.36 | $0.730 | $25.81 | 6d ago |
 Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?Yes | sell | 33.94 | $0.770 | $26.13 | 6d ago |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?Yes | sell | 66.06 | $0.780 | $51.53 | 6d ago |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.740 | $29.6 | 7d ago |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?No | buy | 40 | $0.880 | $35.2 | 7d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?No | buy | 60 | $0.760 | $45.6 | 7d ago |
| Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.360 | $14.4 | 7d ago |
 Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 191.71 | $0.740 | $141.88 | 7d ago |
| Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.750 | $37.5 | 7d ago |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?No | buy | 34.3 | $0.910 | $31.21 | 7d ago |
| Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in September 2026?No | buy | 144 | $0.830 | $119.52 | 8d ago |
| Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in September 2026?No | buy | 54.72 | $0.820 | $44.87 | 8d ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?No | buy | 150 | $0.800 | $120 | 8d ago |
| Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10–$2.20 in August?Yes | sell | 97 | $0.179 | $17.36 | 8d ago |
| Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?Yes | buy | 443.69 | $0.290 | $128.67 | 8d ago |
| Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?Yes | buy | 129.66 | $0.366 | $47.46 | 8d ago |
| Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?No | buy | 300 | $0.870 | $261 | 8d ago |